• A multi-model analysis of long-term emissions and warming implications of current mitigation efforts 

      Sognnæs, Ida Andrea Braathen; Gambhir, Ajay; van de Ven, Dirk-Jan; Nikas, Alexandros; Anger-Kraavi, Annela; Bui, Ha; Campagnolo, Lorenza; Delpiazzo, Elisa; Doukas, Haris; Giarola, Sara; Grant, Neil; Hawkes, Adam; Köberle, Alexandre C.; Kolpakov, Andrey; Mittal, Shivika; Moreno, Jorge; Perdana, Sigit; Rogelj, Joeri; Vielle, Marc; Peters, Glen Philip (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
      Most of the integrated assessment modelling literature focuses on cost-effective pathways towards given temperature goals. Conversely, using seven diverse integrated assessment models, we project global energy CO2 emissions ...
    • A multi-model assessment of the Global Warming Potential of hydrogen 

      Sand, Maria; Skeie, Ragnhild Bieltvedt; Sandstad, Marit; Krishnan, Srinath; Myhre, Gunnar; Bryant, Hannah; Derwent, Richard; Hauglustaine, Didier; Paulot, Fabien; Prather, Michael; Stevenson, David (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      With increasing global interest in molecular hydrogen to replace fossil fuels, more attention is being paid to potential leakages of hydrogen into the atmosphere and its environmental consequences. Hydrogen is not directly ...
    • Multi-model simulations of aerosol and ozone radiative forcing due to anthropogenic emission changes during the period 1990-2015 

      Myhre, Gunnar; Aas, Wenche; Cherian, Ribu; Collins, W; Faluvegi, Greg; Flanner, M.; Forster, Piers M.; Hodnebrog, Øivind; Klimont, Zbigniew; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Mulmenstädt, Johannes; Myhre, Cathrine Lund; Oliviè, Dirk Jan Leo; Prather, Michael J.; Quaas, Johannes; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Schnell, Jordan; Schulz, Michael; Shindell, Drew; Skeie, Ragnhild Bieltvedt; Takemura, Toshihiko; Tsyro, Svetlana G. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2017)
      Over the past few decades, the geographical distribution of emissions of substances that alter the atmospheric energy balance has changed due to economic growth and air pollution regulations. Here, we show the resulting ...
    • A multimodel analysis of post-Glasgow climate targets and feasibility challenges 

      van de Ven, Dirk-Jan; Mittal, Shivika; Gambhir, Ajay; Lamboll, Robin D.; Doukas, Haris; Giarola, Sara; Hawkes, Adam; Koasidis, Konstantinos; Köberle, Alexandre C.; McJeon, Haewon; Perdana, Sigit; Peters, Glen Philip; Rogelj, Joeri; Sognnæs, Ida Andrea Braathen; Vielle, Marc; Nikas, Alexandros (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      The COP26 Glasgow process resulted in many countries strengthening their 2030 emissions reduction targets and announcing net-zero pledges for 2050–2070 but it is not clear how this would impact future warming. Here, we use ...
    • Nasjonale drivkrefter i USAs klimapolitikk 

      Skodvin, Tora; Bang, Guri (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2014)
      Da Obama overtok som president i 2009, var ett av hovedmålene å styrke amerikansk klimapolitikk. Fem år senere er målet fortsatt ikke blitt realisert. For å forklare denne manglende måloppnåelsen undersøker vi tre forhold: ...
    • Nasjonale drivkrefter i USAs klimapolitikk 

      Skodvin, Tora; Bang, Guri (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2014)
      Da Obama overtok som president i 2009, var ett av hovedmålene å styrke amerikansk klimapolitikk. Fem år senere er målet fortsatt ikke blitt realisert. For å forklare denne manglende måloppnåelsen undersøker vi tre forhold: ...
    • National contributions to climate change due to historical emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide since 1850 

      Jones, Matthew W.; Peters, Glen Philip; Gasser, Thomas; Andrew, Robbie; Schwingshackl, Clemens; Gütschow, Johannes; Houghton, Richard A.; Friedlingstein, Pierre; Pongratz, Julia; Le Quéré, Corinne (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      Anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O) have made significant contributions to global warming since the pre-industrial period and are therefore targeted in international climate ...
    • National specialization policy versus farmers’ priorities: Balancing subsistence farming and cash cropping in Nepal 

      Holmelin, Nina (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
      The Nepali Government is currently implementing policies for a radical agricultural transformation into large-scale, mechanized, specialized and commercial farming. However, the peasants prioritize diversified subsistence ...
    • Natural short-lived halogens exert an indirect cooling effect on climate 

      Saiz-Lopez, Alfonso; Fernandez, Rafael P.; Li, Qinyi; Cuevas, Carlos A.; Fu, Xiao; Kinnison, Douglas E.; Tilmes, Simone; Mahajan, Anoop S.; Gómez Martín, Juan Carlos; Iglesias-Suarez, Fernando; Hossaini, Ryan; Plane, John M. C.; Myhre, Gunnar; Lamarque, Jean-François (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      Observational evidence shows the ubiquitous presence of ocean-emitted short-lived halogens in the global atmosphere1,2,3. Natural emissions of these chemical compounds have been anthropogenically amplified since pre-industrial ...
    • Neglected implications of land-use and land-cover changes on the climate-health nexus 

      Orlov, Anton; Aunan, Kristin; Mistry, Malcolm N; Lejeune, Quentin; Pongratz, Julia; Thiery, Wim; Gasparrini, Antonio; Reed, Eilif Ursin; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      Climate change can substantially affect temperature-related mortality and morbidity, especially under high greenhouse gas emission pathways. Achieving the Paris Agreement goals require not only drastic reductions in fossil ...
    • Net Zero: Science, Origins, and Implications 

      Allen, Myles R.; Friedlingstein, Pierre; Girardin, Cécile A.J.; Jenkins, Stuart; Malhi, Yadvinder; Mitchell-Larson, Eli; Peters, Glen Philip; Rajamani, Lavanya (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      This review explains the science behind the drive for global net zero emissions and why this is needed to halt the ongoing rise in global temperatures. We document how the concept of net zero carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions ...
    • A new halocarbon absorption model based on HITRAN cross-section data and new estimates of halocarbon instantaneous clear-sky radiative forcing 

      Buehler, Stefan A.; Brath, Manfred; Lemke, Oliver; Hodnebrog, Øivind; Pincus, Robert; Eriksson, Patrick; Gordon, Iouli; Larsson, Richard (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      The article describes a new practical model for the infrared absorption of chlorofluorocarbons and other gases with dense spectra, based on high-resolution transmission molecular absorption database (HITRAN) absorption ...
    • Norwegian mayoral awareness of and attitudes towards climate change 

      Orderud, Geir; Kelman, Ilan (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2011)
      The willingness of local politicians to implement measures for curbing greenhouse gas emissions and to adapt to emerging conditions is essential for successful climate change policies. This article reports findings from a ...
    • Numerical simulation and evaluation of global ultrafine particle concentrations at the Earth's surface 

      Kohl, Matthias; Lelieveld, Jos; Chowdhury, Sourangsu; Ehrhart, Sebastian; Sharma, Disha; Cheng, Yafang; Tripathi, Sachchida Nand; Sebastian, Mathew; Pandithurai, Govindan; Wang, Hongli; Pozzer, Andrea (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      A new global dataset of annually averaged ultrafine particle (UFP) concentrations at the Earth's surface for the years 2015–2017 has been developed through numerical simulations using the ECHAM/MESSy Atmospheric Chemistry ...
    • Observational Evidence of Increasing Global Radiative Forcing 

      Kramer, Ryan J.; He, Haozhe; Soden, Brian J.; Oreopoulos, Lazaros; Myhre, Gunnar; Forster, Piers M.; Smith, Christopher J. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
      Changes in atmospheric composition, such as increasing greenhouse gases, cause an initial radiative imbalance to the climate system, quantified as the instantaneous radiative forcing. This fundamental metric has not been ...
    • Observations suggest that North African dust absorbs less solar radiation than models estimate 

      Adebiyi, Adeyemi A.; Huang, Yue; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Kok, Jasper F. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      Desert dust accounts for a large fraction of shortwave radiation absorbed by aerosols, which adds to the climate warming produced by greenhouse gases. However, it remains uncertain exactly how much shortwave radiation dust ...
    • Observed and simulated temperature extremes during the recent warming hiatus 

      Sillmann, Jana; Donat, M. G.; Fyfe, J. C.; Zwiers, F. W. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2014)
      The discrepancy between recent observed and simulated trends in global mean surface temperature has provoked a debate about possible causes and implications for future climate change projections. However, little has been ...
    • One world or two? Science–policy interactions in the climate field 

      Sundqvist, G.; Gasper, Des; St. Clair, Asuncion; Hermansen, Erlend Andre T.; Yearley, Steven; Tvedten, Irene Øvstebø; Wynne, Brian (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2017)
      This article assesses how science–policy interactions are conceptualized in the social sciences with special reference to climate change and the IPCC. In terms of the dimension of distance (or proximity) between science ...
    • Optimal asset allocation for commodity sovereign wealth funds 

      Irarrazabal Flores, Alfonso; Ma, Lin; Parra-Alvarez, Juan Carlos (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      This paper studies the dynamic asset allocation problem faced by an infinitively lived commodity-based sovereign wealth fund under incomplete markets. Assuming that the fund receives a non-tradable stream of commodity ...
    • Overcoming global inequality is critical for land-based mitigation in line with the Paris Agreement 

      Humpenöder, Florian; Popp, Alexander; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich; Orlov, Anton; Windisch, Michael Gregory; Menke, Inga; Pongratz, Julia; Havermann, Felix; Thiery, Wim; Luo, Fei; v. Jeetze, Patrick; Dietrich, Jan Philipp; Lotze-Campen, Hermann; Weindl, Isabelle; Lejeune, Quentin (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      Transformation pathways for the land sector in line with the Paris Agreement depend on the assumption of globally implemented greenhouse gas (GHG) emission pricing, and in some cases also on inclusive socio-economic ...