Recent Submissions

  • Indicate separate contributions of long-lived and short-lived greenhouse gases in emission targets 

    Allen, Myles R.; Peters, Glen Philip; Shine, Keith P.; Azar, Christian; Balcombe, Paul; Boucher, Olivier; Cain, Michelle; Ciais, Philippe; Collins, William; Forster, Piers M.; Frame, Dave J.; Friedlingstein, Pierre; Fyson, Claire; Gasser, Thomas; Hare, Bill; Jenkins, Stuart; Hamburg, Steven P.; Johansson, Daniel J.A.; Lynch, John; Macey, Adrian.; Morfeldt, Johannes; Nauels, Alexander; Ocko, Ilissa; Oppenheimer, Michael; Pacala, Stephen W.; Pierrehumbert, Raymond T.; Rogeli, Joeri; Schaeffer, Michiel; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich; Shindell, Drew; Skeie, Ragnhild Bieltvedt; Smith, Stephen M.; Tanaka, Katsumasa (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
    As researchers who have published over recent years on the issue of comparing the climate effects of different greenhouse gases, we would like to highlight a simple innovation that would enhance the transparency of stocktakes ...
  • The Paris Agreement has the potential to facilitate ambitious climate action: a reply to ‘Why do climate change negotiations stall? Scientific evidence and solutions for some structural problems’ by Ulrich J. Frey and Jazmin Burgess 

    Kallbekken, Steffen (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
    Frey and Burgess (2022) argue that climate change negotiations have stalled because of the global public goods nature of the problem, the consensus decision-making process and the lack of institutions to enforce sanctions. ...
  • Reply to: Uncertainty in near-term temperature evolution must not obscure assessments of climate mitigation benefits 

    Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Lund, Marianne Tronstad (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
    In response to our recent paper1 (hereafter SFL20) concerning the relation between natural variability in the climate system and the time to detect a response to emissions mitigation, Lanson et al.2 (hereafter L22) call ...
  • Representing storylines with causal networks to support decision making: Framework and example 

    Kunimitsu, Taro; Baldissera Pacchetti, Marina; Ciullo, Alessio; Sillmann, Jana; Shepherd, Theodore G.; Taner, Mehmet Ümit; van den Hurk, Bart (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
    Physical climate storylines, which are physically self-consistent unfoldings of events or pathways, have been powerful tools in understanding regional climate impacts. We show how embedding physical climate storylines into ...
  • A review of coarse mineral dust in the Earth system 

    Adebiyi, Adeyemi; Kok, Jasper F.; Murray, Benjamin J.; Ryder, Claire L.; Stuut, Jan-Berend W.; Kahn, Ralph A.; Knippertz, Peter; Formenti, Paola; Mahowald, Natalie M.; Pérez García-Pando, Carlos; Klose, Martina; Ansmann, Albert; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Ito, Akinori; Balkanski, Yves; Di Biagio, Claudia; Romanias, Manolis N.; Huang, Yue; Meng, Jun (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
    Mineral dust particles suspended in the atmosphere span more than three orders of magnitude in diameter, from <0.1 μm to more than 100 μm. This wide size range makes dust a unique aerosol species with the ability to interact ...
  • Net Zero: Science, Origins, and Implications 

    Allen, Myles R.; Friedlingstein, Pierre; Girardin, Cécile A.J.; Jenkins, Stuart; Malhi, Yadvinder; Mitchell-Larson, Eli; Peters, Glen Philip; Rajamani, Lavanya (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
    This review explains the science behind the drive for global net zero emissions and why this is needed to halt the ongoing rise in global temperatures. We document how the concept of net zero carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions ...
  • Satellite-based evaluation of AeroCom model bias in biomass burning regions 

    Zhong, Qirui; Schutgens, Nick; Van Der Werf, Guido; Van Noije, Twan; Tsigaridis, Kostas; Bauer, Susanne E.; Mielonen, Tero; Kirkevåg, Alf; Seland, Øyvind; Kokkola, Harri; Checa-Garcia, Ramiro; Neubauer, David; Kipling, Zak; Matsui, Hitoshi; Ginoux, Paul; Takemura, Toshihiko; Le Sager, Philippe; Rémy, Samuel; Bian, Huisheng; Chin, Mian; Zhang, Kai; Zhu, Jialei; Tsyro, Svetlana; Curci, Gabriele; Protonotariou, Anna; Johnson, Ben; Penner, Joyce E.; Bellouin, Nicolas; Skeie, Ragnhild Bieltvedt; Myhre, Gunnar (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
    Global models are widely used to simulate biomass burning aerosol (BBA). Exhaustive evaluations on model representation of aerosol distributions and properties are fundamental to assess health and climate impacts of BBA. ...
  • Forest fluxes and mortality response to drought: Model description (ORCHIDEE-CAN-NHA r7236) and evaluation at the Caxiuanã drought experiment 

    Yao, Yitong; Joetzjer, Emilie; Ciais, Philippe; Viovy, Nicolas; Cresto Aleina, Fabio; Chave, Jerome; Sack, Lawren; Bartlett, Megan; Meir, Patrick; Fisher, Rosie; Luyssaert, Sebastiaan (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
    Extreme drought events in Amazon forests are expected to become more frequent and more intense with climate change, threatening ecosystem function and carbon balance. Yet large uncertainties exist on the resilience of this ...
  • Public Health Measures to Address the Impact of Climate Change on Population Health—Proceedings from a Stakeholder Workshop 

    Jabakhanji, Samira Barbara; Arnold, Stephen Robert; Aunan, Kristin; Chersich, Matthew Francis; Jakobsson, Kristina; McGushin, Alice; Kelly, Ina; Roche, Niall; Stauffer, Anne; Stanistreet, Debbi (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
    Background: The World Health Organization identified climate change as the 21st century’s biggest health threat. This study aimed to identify the current knowledge base, evidence gaps, and implications for climate action ...
  • Metagoverning through intermediaries: the role of the Norwegian “Klimasats” Fund in translating national climate goals to local implementation 

    Farstad, Fay Madeleine; Tønnesen, Anders; Christensen, Ingrid; Sødal Grasbekk, Bård; Brudevoll, Kristiane (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
    There is little knowledge of how policymakers manage governance networks (“metagovern”) within climate policy and especially at non-executive levels of public management. One strategy to metagovern is through using ...
  • Right-wing populism and climate policies: Explaining opposition to road tolls in Norway 

    Aasen, Marianne; Sælen, Håkon (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
    In 2019, the road toll uproar in Norway contributed to a governmental crisis and road tolls became the most debated issue in the media. Using survey data of around 2,000 respondents, we explore what characterizes opponents ...
  • Aerosol absorption has an underappreciated role in historical precipitation change 

    Samset, Bjørn Hallvard (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
    Precipitation change has proven notoriously hard to simulate consistently between global climate models. Aerosol induced shortwave absorption over the historical era is also poorly constrained in both observations and ...
  • Indoor Air Pollution and Health: Bridging Perspectives from Developing and Developed Countries 

    Pillarisetti, Ajay; Ye, Wenlu; Chowdhury, Sourangsu (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
    Much of the global population spends most of their time indoors; however, air pollution measurement, a proxy of exposure, occurs primarily outdoors. This fundamental disconnect between where the people are and where the ...
  • Changes in IPCC Scenario Assessment Emulators Between SR1.5 and AR6 Unraveled 

    Nicholls, Z.; Meinshausen, M.; Lewis, J.; Smith, C.J.; Forster, P.M.; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Rogelj, J.; Kikstra, J.S.; Riahi, K.; Byers, E. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
    The IPCC's scientific assessment of the timing of net-zero emissions and 2030 emission reduction targets consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C or 2°C rests on large scenario databases. Updates to this assessment, such ...
  • A new halocarbon absorption model based on HITRAN cross-section data and new estimates of halocarbon instantaneous clear-sky radiative forcing 

    Buehler, Stefan A.; Brath, Manfred; Lemke, Oliver; Hodnebrog, Øivind; Pincus, Robert; Eriksson, Patrick; Gordon, Iouli; Larsson, Richard (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
    The article describes a new practical model for the infrared absorption of chlorofluorocarbons and other gases with dense spectra, based on high-resolution transmission molecular absorption database (HITRAN) absorption ...
  • How can diverse national food and land-use priorities be reconciled with global sustainability targets? Lessons from the FABLE initiative 

    Mosnier, Aline; Schmidt-Traub, Guido; Obersteiner, Michael; Jones, Sarah; Javalera-Rincon, Valeria; DeClerck, Fabrice; Thomson, Marcus; Sperling, Frank; Harrison, Paula; Pérez-Guzmán, Katya; McCord, Gordon Carlos; Navarro-Garcia, Javier; Marcos-Martinez, Raymundo; Wu, Grace C.; Poncet, Jordan; Douzal, Clara; Steinhauser, Jan; Monjeau, Adrian; Frank, Federico; Lehtonen, Heikki; Rämö, Janne; Leach, Nicholas; Gonzalez-Abraham, Charlotte E.; Ghosh, Ranjan Kumar; Jha, Chandan; Singh, Vartika; Bai, Zhaohai; Jin, Xinpeng; Ma, Lin; Strokov, Anton; Potashnikov, Vladimir; Orduña-Cabrera, Fernando; Neubauer, Rudolf; Diaz, Maria; Penescu, Liviu; Domínguez, Efraín Antonio; Chavarro, John; Pena, Andres; Basnet, Shyam; Fetzer, Ingo; Baker, Justin; Zerriffi, Hisham; Reyes Gallardo, René; Bryan, Brett Anthony; Hadjikakou, Michalis; Lotze-Campen, Hermann; Stevanovic, Miodrag; Smith, Alison; Costa, Wanderson; Habiburrachman, A.H.F.; Immanuel, Gito; Selomane, Odirilwe; Daloz, Anne Sophie; Andrew, Robbie; van Oort, Bob; Imanirareba, Dative; Molla, Kiflu Gedefe; Woldeyes, Firew Bekele; Soterroni, Aline C.; Scarabello, Marluce; Ramos, Fernando M.; Boer, Rizaldi; Winarni, Nurul Laksmi; Supriatna, Jatna; Low, Wai Sern; Fan, Andrew Chiah Howe; Naramabuye, François Xavier; Niyitanga, Fidèle; Olguín, Marcela; Popp, Alexander; Rasche, Livia; Godfray, Charles; Hall, Jim W.; Grundy, Mike J.; Wang, Xiaoxi (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
    There is an urgent need for countries to transition their national food and land-use systems toward food and nutritional security, climate stability, and environmental integrity. How can countries satisfy their demands ...
  • Climate benefit of a future hydrogen economy 

    Hauglustaine, Didier; Paulot, Fabien; Collins, William; Derwent, Richard; Sand, Maria; Boucher, Olivier (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
    Hydrogen is recognised as an important future energy vector for applications in many sectors. Hydrogen is an indirect climate gas which induces perturbations of methane, ozone, and stratospheric water vapour, three potent ...
  • Spatiotemporal Differentiation and Driving Mechanism of Coupling Coordination between New-Type Urbanization and Ecological Environment in China 

    Zhang, Yao; Wei, Taoyuan; Tian, Wentao; Zhao, Kai (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
    The coupling coordination between new-type urbanization and ecological environment is important for regional sustainable development in China. This study proposes an evaluation index system of new urbanization and ecological ...
  • Uncertainty in land carbon budget simulated by terrestrial biosphere models: the role of atmospheric forcing 

    Hardouin, Lucas; Delire, Christine; Decharme, Bertrand; Lawrence, David M.; Nabel, Julia E. M. S.; Brovkin, Victor; Collier, Nathan; Fisher, Rosie; Hoffman, Forrest M.; Koven, Charles D; Séférian, Roland; Stacke, Tobias (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
    Global estimates of the land carbon sink are often based on simulations by terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs). The use of a large number of models that differ in their underlying hypotheses, structure and parameters is ...
  • The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report WGIII climate assessment of mitigation pathways: from emissions to global temperatures 

    Kikstra, Jarmo S.; Nicholls, Zebedee R. J.; Smith, Christopher J.; Lewis, Jared; Lamboll, Robin D.; Byers, Edward; Sandstad, Marit; Meinshausen, Malte; Gidden, Matthew J.; Rogelj, Joeri; Kriegler, Elmar; Peters, Glen Philip; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Skeie, Ragnhild Bieltvedt; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Wienpahl, Laura; Van Vuuren, Detlef P.; Van Der Wijst, Kaj-Ivar; Al Khourdajie, Alaa; Forster, Piers M.; Reisinger, Andy; Schaeffer, Roberto; Riahi, Keywan (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
    While the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) physical science reports usually assess a handful of future scenarios, the Working Group III contribution on climate mitigation to the IPCC's Sixth Assessment ...

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