Recent Submissions

  • Assessment of the European Climate Projections as Simulated by the Large EURO-CORDEX Regional and Global Climate Model Ensemble 

    Coppola, Erika; Nogherotto, Rita; Ciarlo', James M.; Giorgi, Filippo; Van Meijgaard, Erik; Kadygrov, N.; Iles, Carley; Corre, Lola; Sandstad, Marit; Somot, Samuel; Nabat, Pierre; Vautard, Robert; Levavasseur, Guillaume; Schwingshackl, Clemens; Sillmann, Jana; Kjellström, Erik; Nikulin, Grigory; Aalbers, Emma; Lenderink, Geert; Christensen, Ole Bøssing; Boberg, Fredrik; Sørland, Silje Lund; Demory, Marie-Estelle; Bülow, Katharina; Teichmann, Claas; Warrach-Sagi, Kirsten; Wulfmeyer, Volker (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
    This paper analyzes the ensemble of regional climate model (RCM) projections for Europe completed within the EURO-CORDEX project. Projections are available for the two greenhouse gas concentration scenarios RCP2.6 (22 ...
  • The EU needs a demand-driven innovation policy for climate services 

    Hermansen, Erlend Andre T.; Sillmann, Jana; Vigo, Ilaria; Whittlesey, Sam (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
    Climate services have climbed high on the agenda of EU research policy, yet few contributions have reflected on the actual usability of climate services from the perspectives of the intended users, let alone the implications ...
  • Three Decades of Climate Mitigation: Why Haven't We Bent the Global Emissions Curve? 

    Stoddard, Isak; Anderson, Kevin; Capstick, Stuart; Carton, Wim; Depledge, Joanna; Facer, Keri; Gough, Clair; Hache, Frederic; Hoolohan, Claire; Hultman, Martin; Hällström, Niclas; Kartha, Sivan; Klinsky, Sonja; Kuchler, Magdalena; Lövbrand, Eva; Nasiritousi, Naghmeh; Newell, Peter; Peters, Glen Philip; Sokona, Youba; Stirling, Andy; Stilwell, Matthew; Spash, Clive L.; Williams, Mariama (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
    Despite three decades of political efforts and a wealth of research on the causes and catastrophic impacts of climate change, global carbon dioxide emissions have continued to rise and are 60% higher today than they were ...
  • Ten-year return levels of sub-daily extreme precipitation over Europe 

    Poschlod, Benjamin; Ludwig, Ralf; Sillmann, Jana (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
    Information on the frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation is required by public authorities, civil security departments, and engineers for the design of buildings and the dimensioning of water management and ...
  • Influence of weather situation on non-CO2 aviation climate effects: The REACT4C climate change functions 

    Frömming, Christine; Grewe, Volker; Brinkop, Sabine; Jöckel, Patrick; Søvde, Ole Amund; Rosanka, Simon; Van Manen, Jesper; Matthes, Sigrun (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
    Emissions of aviation include CO2, H2O, NOx, sulfur oxides, and soot. Many studies have investigated the annual mean climate impact of aviation emissions. While CO2 has a long atmospheric residence time and is almost ...
  • Metodikk for framstilling av klimaeffekt på kort og lang sikt 

    Aamaas, Borgar; Berntsen, Terje Koren (CICERO Report, Research report, 2021)
    CICERO Senter for klimaforskning har på oppdrag fra Miljødirektoratet utviklet og illustrert metodikk for framstilling av klimaeffekt på kort og lang sikt. Vi har vurdert klimaeffekt på to forskjellige måter, med vektfaktorer ...
  • Temporal–spatial evolution and influencing factors of coordinated development of the population, resources, economy and environment (Pree) system: Evidence from 31 provinces in China 

    Cao, Junjie; Zhang, Yao; Wei, Taoyuan; Sun, Hui (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
    Facing the increasingly severe friction among the domains of population, resources, economy and environment (PREE) in a system, theoretical guidance for the sustainable development of a PREE system can be obtained by ...
  • Carbon dioxide removal policy in the making: Assessing developments in 9 OECD cases 

    Schenuit, Felix; Colvin, Rebecca; Fridahl, Mathias; McMullin, Barry; Reisinger, Andy; Sanchez, Daniel L.; Smith, Stephen M.; Torvanger, Asbjørn; Wreford, Anita; Geden, Oliver (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
    Since the adoption of the Paris Agreement in 2015, spurred by the 2018 IPCC Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5°C, net zero emission targets have emerged as a new organizing principle of climate policy. In this context, ...
  • Adaptation interventions and their effect on vulnerability in developing countries: Help, hindrance or irrelevance? 

    Eriksen, Siri Ellen Hallstrøm; Schipper, Lisa; Scoville-Simonds, Morgan; Vincent, Katharine; Adam, Hans Nicolai; Brooks, Nick; Harding, Brian; Khatri, Dil B.; Lenaerts, Lutgart; Liverman, Diana; Mills-Novoa, Megan; Mosberg, Marianne; Movik, Synne; Muok, Benard; Nightingale, Andrea Joslyn; Ojha, Hemant; Sygna, Linda; Taylor, Marcus; Vogel, Coleen; West, Jennifer Joy (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
  • Modifying emissions scenario projections to account for the effects of COVID-19: Protocol for CovidMIP 

    Lamboll, Robin; Jones, Chris D.; Skeie, Ragnhild Bieltvedt; Fiedler, Stephanie; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Gillett, Nathan P.; Rogelj, Joeri; Forster, Piers M. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
    Lockdowns to avoid the spread of COVID-19 have created an unprecedented reduction in human emissions. While the country-level scale of emissions changes can be estimated in near real time, the more detailed, gridded emissions ...
  • Corporate social responsibility disclosure, media reports, and enterprise innovation: Evidence from chinese listed companies 

    Wu, Shilei; Zhang, Hongjie; Wei, Taoyuan (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
    Given the limited response of enterprises to China’s national policy on the compulsory disclosure of corporate social responsibility (CSR), a deviation has occurred between policy orientation and reality. To explore the ...
  • Business Models for Negative Emissions From Waste-to-Energy Plants 

    Torvanger, Asbjørn (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
    Negative emissions of carbon dioxide will likely be needed to meet the <2°C warming above the pre-industrial level goal of the Paris Agreement. A major technology option is combining Biomass Energy with Carbon Capture and ...
  • Competing effects of aerosol reductions and circulation changes for future improvements in Beijing haze 

    Guo, Liang; Wilcox, Laura J.; Bollasina, Massimo; Turnock, Steven T.; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Zhang, Lixia (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
    Despite local emission reductions, severe haze events remain a serious issue in Beijing. Previous studies have suggested that both greenhouse gas increases and aerosol decreases are likely to increase the frequency of ...
  • A future perspective of historical contributions to climate change 

    Skeie, Ragnhild Bieltvedt; Peters, Glen Philip; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Andrew, Robbie (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
    Countries’ historical contributions to climate change have been on the agenda for more than two decades and will most likely continue to be an element in future international discussions and negotiations on climate. Previous ...
  • Where is the EU headed given its current climate policy? A stakeholder-driven model inter-comparison 

    Nikas, Alexandros; Elia, Alessia; Boitier, Baptiste; Koasidis, Konstantinos; Doukas, Haris; Cassetti, Gabriele; Anger-Kraavi, Annela; Bui, Ha; Campagnolo, Lorenza; De Miglio, Rocco; Delpiazzo, Elisa; Fougeyrollas, Arnaud; Gambhir, Ajay; Gargiulo, Maurizio; Giarola, Sara; Grant, Neil; Hawkes, Adam; Herbst, Andrea; Köberle, Alexandre C.; Kolpakov, Andrey; Le Mouël, Pierre; McWilliams, Ben; Mittal, Shivika; Moreno, Jorge; Neuner, Felix; Perdana, Sigit; Peters, Glen Philip; Plötz, Patrick; Rogelj, Joeri; Sognnæs, Ida Andrea Braathen; Van de Ven, Dirk-Jan; Vielle, Marc; Zachmann, G.; Zagamé, Paul; Chiodi, Alessandro (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
    Recent calls to do climate policy research with, rather than for, stakeholders have been answered in non-modelling science. Notwithstanding progress in modelling literature, however, very little of the scenario space traces ...
  • Responses of Arctic black carbon and surface temperature to multi-region emission reductions: A Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution Phase 2 (HTAP2) ensemble modeling study 

    Nan-nan, Zhao; Dong, Xinyi; Huang, Kan; Fu, Joshua S.; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Sudo, Kengo; Henze, Daven K.; Kucsera, Tom; Lam, Yun Fat; Chin, Mian; Tilmes, Simone (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
    Black carbon (BC) emissions play an important role in regional climate change in the Arctic. It is necessary to pay attention to the impact of long-range transport from regions outside the Arctic as BC emissions from local ...
  • Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0-diagnostics for extreme events, regional and impact evaluation, and analysis of Earth system models in CMIP 

    Weigel, Katja; Bock, Lisa; Gier, Bettina K.; Lauer, Axel; Righi, Mattia; Schlund, Manuel; Adeniyi, Kemisola; Andela, Bouwe; Arnone, Enrico; Berg, Peter; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Cionni, Irene; Corti, Susanna; Drost, Niels; Hunter, Alasdair; Lledó, Llorenç; Mohr, Christian Wilhelm; Paçal, Aytaç; Pérez-Zanón, Núria; Predoi, Valeriu; Sandstad, Marit; Sillmann, Jana; Sterl, Andreas; Vegas-Regidor, Javier; Von Hardenberg, Jost; Eyring, Veronika (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
    This paper complements a series of now four publications that document the release of the Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0. It describes new diagnostics on the hydrological cycle, extreme events, impact ...
  • Evaluation of the Large EURO-CORDEX Regional Climate Model Ensemble 

    Vautard, Robert; Kadygrov, Nikolay; Iles, Carley; Boberg, Fredrik; Buonomo, Erasmo; Bülow, Katharina; Coppola, Erika; Corre, Lola; van Meijgaard, Erik; Nogherotto, Rita; Sandstad, Marit; Schwingshackl, Clemens; Somot, Samuel; Aalbers, Emma; Christensen, Ole Bøssing; Ciarlo, James M.; Demory, Marie-Estelle; Giorgi, Filippo; Jacob, Daniela; Jones, Richard G.; Keuler, Klaus; Kjellström, Erik; Lenderink, Geert; Levavasseur, Guillaume; Nikulin, Grigory; Sillmann, Jana; Solidoro, Cosimo; Sørland, Silje Lund; Steger, Christian; Teichmann, Claas; Warrach-Sagi, Kirsten; Wulfmeyer, Volker (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
    The use of regional climate model (RCM)-based projections for providing regional climate information in a research and climate service contexts is currently expanding very fast. This has been possible thanks to a considerable ...
  • The impact of public health messaging and personal experience on the acceptance of mask wearing during the COVID-19 pandemic 

    Cherry, Todd; James, Alexander G.; Murphy, James (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
    Face coverings have been shown to slow the spread of COVID-19, yet their use is not universal and remains controversial in the United States. Designing effective nudges for widespread adoption is important when federal ...
  • Empirical estimates of regional carbon budgets imply reduced global soil heterotrophic respiration 

    Ciais, Philippe; Yao, Yitong; Gasser, Thomas; Baccini, Alessandro; Wang, Yilong; Lauerwald, Ronny; Peng, Shushi; Bastos, Ana; Li, Wei; Raymond, Peter A; Canadell, Josep G.; Peters, Glen Philip; Andres, Robert J.; Chang, Jinfeng; Yue, Chao; Dolman, A. Johannes; Haverd, Vanessa; Hartmann, Jens; Laruelle, Goulven; Konings, Alexandra G; King, Anthony W; Liu, Yi; Luyssaert, Sebastiaan; Maignan, Fabienne; Patra, Prabir K.; Peregon, Anna; Regnier, Pierre; Pongratz, Julia; Poulter, Ben; Shvidenko, Anatoly; Valentini, Riccardo; Wang, Rong; Broquet, Grégoire; Yin, Yi; Zscheischler, Jakob; Guenet, Bertrand; Goll, Daniel S.; Ballantyne, Ashley P.; Yang, Hui; Qiu, Chunjing; Zhu, Dan (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
    Resolving regional carbon budgets is critical for informing land-based mitigation policy. For nine regions covering nearly the whole globe, we collected inventory estimates of carbon-stock changes complemented by satellite ...

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