Recent Submissions

  • The regional temperature implications of strong air quality measures 

    Aamaas, Borgar; Berntsen, Terje Koren; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2019)
  • Science as a "fixed point" Quantification and boundary objects in international climate politics 

    Lahn, Bård; Sundqvist, Göran (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2017)
    Our understanding of climate change is dominated by quantified scientific knowledge, with science and politics usually seen as operating separately and autonomously from one another. By investigating a particular fact box ...
  • Synoptic and meteorological drivers of extreme ozone concentrations over Europe 

    Otero, Noelia; Sillmann, Jana; Schnell, Jordan; Rust, Henning W.; Butler, Tim (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2016)
    The present work assesses the relationship between local and synoptic meteorological conditions and surface ozone concentration over Europe in spring and summer months, during the period 1998–2012 using a new interpolated ...
  • Top ten European heatwaves since 1950 and their occurrence in the coming decades 

    Russo, Simone; Sillmann, Jana; Fischer, Erich M. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2015)
    The Russian heatwave in 2010 killed tens of thousands of people, and was by far the worst event in Europe since at least 1950, according to recent studies and a novel universal heatwave index capturing both the duration ...
  • Downscaling probability of long heatwaves based on seasonal mean daily maximum temperatures 

    Benestad, Rasmus; van Oort, Bob; Justino, Flavio; Stordal, Frode; Parding, Kajsa; Mezghani, Abdelkader; Erlandsen, Helene B.; Sillmann, Jana; Pereira-Flores, Milton E (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2018)
    A methodology for estimating and downscaling the probability associated with the duration of heatwaves is presented and applied as a case study for Indian wheat crops. These probability estimates make use of empirical-statistical ...
  • Observed and simulated temperature extremes during the recent warming hiatus 

    Sillmann, Jana; Donat, M. G.; Fyfe, J. C.; Zwiers, F. W. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2014)
    The discrepancy between recent observed and simulated trends in global mean surface temperature has provoked a debate about possible causes and implications for future climate change projections. However, little has been ...
  • How will greenhouse gas emissions from motor vehicles be constrained in China around 2030? 

    Zheng, Bo; Zhang, Qiang; Borken-Kleefeld, Jens; Huo, Hong; Guan, Dabo; Klimont, Zbigniew; Peters, Glen Philip; He, Kebin (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2015)
    Increasing emissions from road transportation endanger China’s objective to reduce national greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The unconstrained growth of vehicle GHG emissions are mainly caused by the insufficient improvement ...
  • Consumption-based GHG emission accounting: a UK case study 

    Barrett, John; Peters, Glen Philip; Wiedmann, Thomas; Scott, Kate; Lenzen, Manfred; Roelich, Katy; Le Quéré, Corinne (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2013)
    Global GHG emissions continue to rise, with nearly a quarter of it due to trade that is not currently captured within global climate policy. In the context of current trade patterns and limited global cooperation on climate ...
  • The trouble with negative emissions 

    Anderson, K; Peters, Glen Philip (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2016)
    n December 2015, member states of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) adopted the Paris Agreement, which aims to hold the increase in the global average temperature to below 2°C and to pursue ...

    Arto, I; Rueda-Cantuche, JM; Peters, Glen Philip (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2014)
    We explore two different worldwide multi-regional input–output (MRIO) databases (Global Trade Analysis Project-MRIO and World Input–Output Database) for the calculation of the global carbon footprint (CF) of nations. We ...
  • In the light of equity and science: scientific expertise and climate justice after Paris 

    Lahn, Bård (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2017)
    The Paris Agreement is built on a tension between the common goal of limiting warming to 1.5 °C, and the differentiation that follows from the principle of equity. Scientific expertise is commonly seen as providing important ...
  • Reduced carbon emission estimates from fossil fuel combustion and cement production in China 

    Liu, Z; Guan, Dabo; Wei, Wei; Davis, Steven J; Ciais, Philippe; Bai, Jin; Peng, Shushi; Zhang, Qiang; Hubacek, Klaus; Marland, Gregg; Andres, Robert J; Crawford-Brown, Douglas; Lin, Jintai; Zhao, Hongyan; Hong, Chaopeng; Boden, Thomas A; Feng, Kuishuang; Peters, Glen Philip; Xi, Fengming; Liu, Junguo; Li, Yuan; Zhao, Yu; Zeng, Ning; He, Kebin (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2015)
    early three-quarters of the growth in global carbon emissions from the burning of fossil fuels and cement production between 2010 and 2012 occurred in China1, 2. Yet estimates of Chinese emissions remain subject to large ...
  • The 'best available science' to inform 1.5°C policy choices 

    Peters, Glen Philip (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2016)
    An IPCC Special Report on 1.5 °C should focus on resolving fundamental scientific and political uncertainties, not fixate on developing unachievable mitigation pathways.
  • Climate impacts of short-lived climate forcers versus CO2 from biodiesel: A case of the EU on-road sector 

    Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Berntsen, Terje Koren; Fuglestvedt, Jan S. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2014)
    Biofuels are proposed to play an important role in several mitigation strategies to meet future CO2 emission targets for the transport sector but remain controversial due to significant uncertainties in net impacts on ...
  • Reaching peak emissions 

    Jackson, Robert B; Canadell, Josep G.; Le Quéré, Corinne; Andrew, Robbie; Korsbakken, Jan Ivar; Peters, Glen Philip; Nakicenovic, Neboisa (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2015)
    Rapid growth in global CO2 emissions from fossil fuels and industry ceased in the past two years, despite continued economic growth. Decreased coal use in China was largely responsible, coupled with slower global growth ...
  • A multimodel examination of climate Extremes in an idealized geoengineering experiment 

    Curry, Charles L.; Sillmann, Jana; Bronaugh, David; Alterskjær, Kari; Cole, Jason N.S.; Ji, Duoying; Kravitz, Ben; Kristjansson, Jon Egill; Moore, John C.; Muri, Helene Østlie; Niemeier, Ulrike; Robock, Alan; Tilmes, Simone; Yang, Shuting (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2014)
    Temperature and precipitation extremes are examined in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project experiment G1, wherein an instantaneous quadrupling of CO2 from its preindustrial control value is offset by a ...
  • Regional temperature change potentials for short-lived climate forcers based on radiative forcing from multiple models 

    Aamaas, Borgar; Berntsen, Terje Koren; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Shine, Keith P; Collins, William J (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2017)
    We calculate the absolute regional temperature change potential (ARTP) of various short-lived climate forcers (SLCFs) based on detailed radiative forcing (RF) calculations from four different models. The temperature response ...
  • Sharing a quota on cumulative carbon emissions 

    Raupach, Michael R.; Davis, Steven J.; Peters, Glen Philip; Andrew, Robbie; Canadell, Josep G.; Friedlingstein, Pierre; Jotzo, Frank; Le Quéré, Corinne (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2014)
    Any limit on future global warming is associated with a quota on cumulative global CO2 emissions. We translate this global carbon quota to regional and national scales, on a spectrum of sharing principles that extends from ...
  • Uncertainties around reductions in China's coal use and CO 2 emissions 

    Korsbakken, Jan Ivar; Peters, Glen Philip; Andrew, Robbie (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2016)
    Chinese coal consumption dropped 2.9% in 2014 according to preliminary official statistics1 released in 2015. This was hailed as historic after China’s meteoric growth in the 2000s2. The International Energy Agency used ...

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