Blar i Journal articles på forfatter "Fuglestvedt, Jan S."

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    • Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework 

      O'Neil, Brian C.; Carter, Timothy R.; Ebi, Kristie L.; Harrison, Paula A.; Kemp-Benedict, Eric; Kok, Kasper; Kriegler, Elmar; Preston, Benjamin l.; Riahi, Keywan; Sillmann, Jana; Ruijven, Bas J. van; Vuuren, Detlef Van; Carlisle, David; Conde, Cecilia; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Green, Carole; Hasegawa, Tomoko; Leininger, Julia; Monteich, Seth; Pichs-Madruga, Ramon (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2020)
      Long-term global scenarios have underpinned research and assessment of global environmental change for four decades. Over the past ten years, the climate change research community has developed a scenario framework combining ...

    • Changes in IPCC Scenario Assessment Emulators Between SR1.5 and AR6 Unraveled 

      Nicholls, Z.; Meinshausen, M.; Lewis, J.; Smith, C.J.; Forster, P.M.; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Rogelj, J.; Kikstra, J.S.; Riahi, K.; Byers, E. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      The IPCC's scientific assessment of the timing of net-zero emissions and 2030 emission reduction targets consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C or 2°C rests on large scenario databases. Updates to this assessment, such ...

    • Climate impacts of short-lived climate forcers versus CO2 from biodiesel: A case of the EU on-road sector 

      Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Berntsen, Terje Koren; Fuglestvedt, Jan S. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2014)
      Biofuels are proposed to play an important role in several mitigation strategies to meet future CO2 emission targets for the transport sector but remain controversial due to significant uncertainties in net impacts on ...

    • The climate spiral demonstrates the power of sharing creative ideas 

      Hawkins, Ed; Fæhn, Taran; Fuglestvedt, Jan S. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2019)
      Graphical visualisations have the potential to engage diverse audiences in understanding the changes to our climate, especially when spread worldwide using both traditional and social media. The animated global temperature ...

    • Counteracting the climate effects of volcanic eruptions using short-lived greenhouse gases 

      Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Shine, Keith P. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2014)
      A large volcanic eruption might constitute a climate emergency, significantly altering global temperature and precipitation for several years. Major future eruptions will occur, but their size or timing cannot be predicted. ...

    • Delayed emergence of a global temperature response after emission mitigation 

      Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Lund, Marianne Tronstad (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2020)
      A major step towards achieving the goals of the Paris agreement would be a measurable change in the evolution of global warming in response to mitigation of anthropogenic emissions. The inertia and internal variability of ...

    • Earlier emergence of a temperature response to mitigation by filtering annual variability 

      Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Zhou, C.; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Marotzke, J.; Zelinka, M.D. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)
      The rate of global surface warming is crucial for tracking progress towards global climate targets, but is strongly influenced by interannual-to-decadal variability, which precludes rapid detection of the temperature ...

    • Emission metrics for quantifying regional climate impacts of aviation 

      Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Aamaas, Borgar; Berntsen, Terje Koren; Bock, Lisa; Burkhardt, Ulrike; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Shine, Keith P (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2017)

    • A future perspective of historical contributions to climate change 

      Skeie, Ragnhild Bieltvedt; Peters, Glen Philip; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Andrew, Robbie (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
      Countries’ historical contributions to climate change have been on the agenda for more than two decades and will most likely continue to be an element in future international discussions and negotiations on climate. Previous ...

    • A “greenhouse gas balance” for aviation in line with the Paris Agreement 

      Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Kallbekken, Steffen; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Lee, David S. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      The effects of aviation on climate pose unique policy challenges. A large fraction of the CO2 emissions (65%) is international and not (explicitly) included in the Paris Agreement. The interpretation of Article 4.1 on ...

    • The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report WGIII climate assessment of mitigation pathways: from emissions to global temperatures 

      Kikstra, Jarmo S.; Nicholls, Zebedee R. J.; Smith, Christopher J.; Lewis, Jared; Lamboll, Robin D.; Byers, Edward; Sandstad, Marit; Meinshausen, Malte; Gidden, Matthew J.; Rogelj, Joeri; Kriegler, Elmar; Peters, Glen Philip; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Skeie, Ragnhild Bieltvedt; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Wienpahl, Laura; Van Vuuren, Detlef P.; Van Der Wijst, Kaj-Ivar; Al Khourdajie, Alaa; Forster, Piers M.; Reisinger, Andy; Schaeffer, Roberto; Riahi, Keywan (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      While the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) physical science reports usually assess a handful of future scenarios, the Working Group III contribution on climate mitigation to the IPCC's Sixth Assessment ...

    • Metrics for linking emissions of gases and aerosols to global precipitation changes 

      Shine, Keith P.; Allan, R.P.; Collins, William J.; Fuglestvedt, Jan S. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2015)
      Recent advances in understanding have made it possible to relate global precipitation changes directly to emissions of particular gases and aerosols that influence climate. Using these advances, new indices are developed ...

    • Regional temperature change potentials for short-lived climate forcers based on radiative forcing from multiple models 

      Aamaas, Borgar; Berntsen, Terje Koren; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Shine, Keith P.; Collins, William J (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2017)
      We calculate the absolute regional temperature change potential (ARTP) of various short-lived climate forcers (SLCFs) based on detailed radiative forcing (RF) calculations from four different models. The temperature response ...

    • Reply to: Uncertainty in near-term temperature evolution must not obscure assessments of climate mitigation benefits 

      Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Lund, Marianne Tronstad (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      In response to our recent paper1 (hereafter SFL20) concerning the relation between natural variability in the climate system and the time to detect a response to emissions mitigation, Lanson et al.2 (hereafter L22) call ...

    • Stable climate metrics for emissions of short and long-lived species—combining steps and pulses 

      Collins, William J.; Frame, David J.; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Shine, Keith Peter (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2020)
      Multi-gas climate agreements rely on a methodology (widely referred to as 'metrics') to place emissions of different gases on a CO2-equivalent scale. There has been an ongoing debate on the extent to which existing metrics ...

    • Steady global surface warming from 1973 to 2022 but increased warming rate after 1990 

      Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Zhou, C.; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Marotzke, J.; Zelinka, M.D. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      The change in global mean surface temperature is a crucial and broadly used indicator of the evolution of climate change. Any decadal scale changes in warming rate are however obfuscated by internal variability. Here we ...