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dc.contributor.authorNikas, Alexandros
dc.contributor.authorElia, Alessia
dc.contributor.authorBoitier, Baptiste
dc.contributor.authorKoasidis, Konstantinos
dc.contributor.authorDoukas, Haris
dc.contributor.authorCassetti, Gabriele
dc.contributor.authorAnger-Kraavi, Annela
dc.contributor.authorBui, Ha
dc.contributor.authorCampagnolo, Lorenza
dc.contributor.authorDe Miglio, Rocco
dc.contributor.authorDelpiazzo, Elisa
dc.contributor.authorFougeyrollas, Arnaud
dc.contributor.authorGambhir, Ajay
dc.contributor.authorGargiulo, Maurizio
dc.contributor.authorGiarola, Sara
dc.contributor.authorGrant, Neil
dc.contributor.authorHawkes, Adam
dc.contributor.authorHerbst, Andrea
dc.contributor.authorKöberle, Alexandre C.
dc.contributor.authorKolpakov, Andrey
dc.contributor.authorLe Mouël, Pierre
dc.contributor.authorMcWilliams, Ben
dc.contributor.authorMittal, Shivika
dc.contributor.authorMoreno, Jorge
dc.contributor.authorNeuner, Felix
dc.contributor.authorPerdana, Sigit
dc.contributor.authorPeters, Glen Philip
dc.contributor.authorPlötz, Patrick
dc.contributor.authorRogelj, Joeri
dc.contributor.authorSognnæs, Ida Andrea Braathen
dc.contributor.authorVan de Ven, Dirk-Jan
dc.contributor.authorVielle, Marc
dc.contributor.authorZachmann, G.
dc.contributor.authorZagamé, Paul
dc.contributor.authorChiodi, Alessandro
dc.identifier.citationScience of the Total Environment. 2021, 793 .en_US
dc.description.abstractRecent calls to do climate policy research with, rather than for, stakeholders have been answered in non-modelling science. Notwithstanding progress in modelling literature, however, very little of the scenario space traces back to what stakeholders are ultimately concerned about. With a suite of eleven integrated assessment, energy system and sectoral models, we carry out a model inter-comparison for the EU, the scenario logic and research questions of which have been formulated based on stakeholders' concerns. The output of this process is a scenario framework exploring where the region is headed rather than how to achieve its goals, extrapolating its current policy efforts into the future. We find that Europe is currently on track to overperforming its pre-2020 40% target yet far from its newest ambition of 55% emissions cuts by 2030, as well as looking at a 1.0–2.35 GtCO2 emissions range in 2050. Aside from the importance of transport electrification, deployment levels of carbon capture and storage are found intertwined with deeper emissions cuts and with hydrogen diffusion, with most hydrogen produced post-2040 being blue. Finally, the multi-model exercise has highlighted benefits from deeper decarbonisation in terms of energy security and jobs, and moderate to high renewables-dominated investment needs.en_US
dc.rightsNavngivelse 4.0 Internasjonal*
dc.subjectEnergy system modelsen_US
dc.subjectModel inter-comparisonen_US
dc.subjectStakeholder engagementen_US
dc.subjectClimate policyen_US
dc.subjectIntegrated assessment modelsen_US
dc.titleWhere is the EU headed given its current climate policy? A stakeholder-driven model inter-comparisonen_US
dc.typeJournal articleen_US
dc.typePeer revieweden_US
dc.source.journalScience of the Total Environmenten_US

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Navngivelse 4.0 Internasjonal
Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as Navngivelse 4.0 Internasjonal