• A multi-model comparison of meteorological drivers of surface ozone over Europe 

      Otero, Noelia; Sillmann, Jana; Mar, Kathleen; Rust, Henning W.; Solberg, Sverre; Andersson, Camilla; Engardt, Magnuz; Bergström, Robert; Bessagnet, Bertrand; Colette, Augustin; Couvidat, Florian; Cuvelier, Cornelius; Tsyro, Svetlana; Fagerli, Hilde; Schaap, Martijn; Manders, Astrid; Mircea, Mihaela; Briganti, Gino; Cappelletti, Andrea; Adani, Mario; D'Isidoro, Massimo; Pay, María Teresa; Theobald, Mark; Vivanco, Marta G.; Wind, Peter Ariaan; Ojha, Narendra; Raffort, Valentin; Butler, Tim (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2018)
      The implementation of European emission abatement strategies has led to a significant reduction in the emissions of ozone precursors during the last decade. Ground-level ozone is also influenced by meteorological factors ...
    • A multi-model comparison of meteorological drivers of surface ozone over Europe 

      Otero, Noelia; Sillmann, Jana; Mar, Kathleen; Rust, Henning W.; Solberg, Sverre; Andersson, Camilla; Engardt, Magnuz; Bergström, Robert; Bessagnet, Bertrand; Colette, Augustin; Couvidat, Florian; Cuvelier, Cornelius; Tsyro, Svetlana; Fagerli, Hilde; Schaap, Martijn; Manders, Astrid; Mircea, Mihaela; Briganti, Gino; Cappelletti, Andrea; Adani, Mario; D'Isidoro, Massimo; Pay, María Teresa; Theobald, Mark; Vivanco, Marta G.; Wind, Peter Ariaan; Ojha, Narendra; Raffort, Valentin; Butler, Tim (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2018)
      The implementation of European emission abatement strategies has led to a significant reduction in the emissions of ozone precursors during the last decade. Ground-level ozone is also influenced by meteorological factors ...
    • A multimodel examination of climate Extremes in an idealized geoengineering experiment 

      Curry, Charles L.; Sillmann, Jana; Bronaugh, David; Alterskjær, Kari; Cole, Jason N.S.; Ji, Duoying; Kravitz, Ben; Kristjansson, Jon Egill; Moore, John C.; Muri, Helene Østlie; Niemeier, Ulrike; Robock, Alan; Tilmes, Simone; Yang, Shuting (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2014)
      Temperature and precipitation extremes are examined in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project experiment G1, wherein an instantaneous quadrupling of CO2 from its preindustrial control value is offset by a ...
    • Asking the right questions in adaptation research and practice: Seeing beyond climate impacts in rural Nepal 

      Ensor, Jonathan Edward; Wennstroem, Patrick; Bhatterai, Anil; Nightingale, Andrea Joslyn; Eriksen, Siri; Sillmann, Jana (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2019)
      Adaptation research and practice too often overlooks the wider social context within which climate change is experienced. Mainstream approaches frame adaptation problems in terms of the consequences that flow from biophysical ...
    • Blocking and its Response to Climate Change 

      Woollings, Tim; Barriopedro, David E.; Methven, John; Son, Seok-Woo; Martius, Olivia; Harvey, Ben; Sillmann, Jana; Lupo, Anthony R.; Seneviratne, Sonia I. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2018)
      Purpose of Review Atmospheric blocking events represent some of the most high-impact weather patterns in the mid-latitudes, yet they have often been a cause for concern in future climate projections. There has been low ...
    • Downscaling probability of long heatwaves based on seasonal mean daily maximum temperatures 

      Benestad, Rasmus; Oort, Bob van; Justino, Flavio; Stordal, Frode; Parding, Kajsa; Mezghani, Abdelkader; Erlandsen, Helene B.; Sillmann, Jana; Pereira-Flores, Milton E (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2018)
      A methodology for estimating and downscaling the probability associated with the duration of heatwaves is presented and applied as a case study for Indian wheat crops. These probability estimates make use of empirical-statistical ...
    • Dynamical response of Mediterranean precipitation to greenhouse gases and aerosols 

      Tang, Tao; Shindell, Drew; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Boucher, Olivier; Forster, Piers M.; Hodnebrog, Øivind; Myhre, Gunnar; Sillmann, Jana; Voulgarakis, Apostolos; Andrews, Timothy; Faluvegi, Gregory S.; Fläschner, Dagmar; Iversen, Trond; Kasoar, Matthew; Kharin, Viatcheslav; Kirkevåg, Alf; Lamarque, Jean-Francois; Oliviè, Dirk Jan Leo; Richardson, Thomas; Stjern, Camilla Weum; Takemura, Toshihiko (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2018)
    • Evaluation of CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations of historical surface air temperature extremes using proper evaluation methods 

      Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Sillmann, Jana; Haugen, Marion; Gissibl, Nadine; Sandstad, Marit (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2020)
      Reliable projections of extremes by climate models are becoming increasingly important in the context of climate change and associated societal impacts. Extremes are by definition rare events, characterized by a small ...
    • Frequency of extreme precipitation increases extensively with event rareness under global warming 

      Myhre, Gunnar; Alterskjær, Kari; Stjern, Camilla Weum; Hodnebrog, Øivind; Marelle, Louis; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Sillmann, Jana; Schaller, Nathalie; Fischer, Erich; Schulz, Michael; Stohl, Andreas (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2019)
      The intensity of the heaviest extreme precipitation events is known to increase with global warming. How often such events occur in a warmer world is however less well established, and the combined effect of changes in ...
    • From Hazard to Risk 

      Sillmann, Jana; Russo, Simone; Sippel, Sebastian; Alnes, Kristina (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2018)
    • Half a degree and rapid socioeconomic development matter for heatwave risk 

      Russo, Simone; Sillmann, Jana; Sippel, Sebastian; Barcikowska, Monika J.; Ghisetti, Claudia; Smid, Marek; O'Neill, Brian (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2019)
      While every society can be exposed to heatwaves, some people suffer far less harm and recover more quickly than others from their occurrence. Here we project indicators of global heatwave risk associated with global warming ...
    • Heat Stress Indicators in CMIP6: Estimating Future Trends and Exceedances of Impact-Relevant Thresholds 

      Schwingshackl, Clemens; Sillmann, Jana; Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana; Sandstad, Marit; Aunan, Kristin (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2021)
      Global warming is leading to increased heat stress in many regions around the world. An extensive number of heat stress indicators (HSIs) has been developed to measure the associated impacts on human health. Here we ...
    • Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change 

      Shiogama, Hideo; Hasegawa, Tomoko; Fujimori, Shinichiro; Murakami, Daisuke; Takahashi, Kiyoshi; Tanaka, Katsumasa; Emori, Seita; Kubota, Izumi; Abe, Manabu; Imada, Yukiko; Watanabe, Masahiro; Mitchell, Daniel; Schaller, Nathalie; Sillmann, Jana; Fischer, Erich; Scinocca, John F.; Bethke, Ingo; Lierhammer, Ludwig; Takakura, Jun'ya; Trautmann, Tim; Döll, Petra; Ostberg, Sebastian; Schmied, Hannes Müller; Saeed, Fahad; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2019)
      Clarifying characteristics of hazards and risks of climate change at 2 °C and 1.5 °C global warming is important for understanding the implications of the Paris Agreement. We perform and analyze large ensembles of 2 °C ...
    • Local biomass burning is a dominant cause of the observed precipitation reduction in southern Africa 

      Hodnebrog, Øivind; Myhre, Gunnar; Forster, Piers M.; Sillmann, Jana; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2016)
      Observations indicate a precipitation decline over large parts of southern Africa since the 1950s. Concurrently, atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases and aerosols have increased due to anthropogenic activities. ...
    • Observed and simulated temperature extremes during the recent warming hiatus 

      Sillmann, Jana; Donat, M. G.; Fyfe, J. C.; Zwiers, F. W. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2014)
      The discrepancy between recent observed and simulated trends in global mean surface temperature has provoked a debate about possible causes and implications for future climate change projections. However, little has been ...
    • Percentile indices for assessing changes in heavy precipitation events 

      Schaer, Christoph; Ban, Nikolina; Fischer, Erich M.; Rajczak, Jan; Schmidli, Juerg; Frei, Christoph; Giorgi, Filippo; Karl, Thomas R.; Kendon, Elisabeth J.; Klein Tank, Albert M. G.; O'Gorman, Paul A.; Sillmann, Jana; Zhang, Xuebin; Zwiers, Francis W. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2016)
      Many climate studies assess trends and projections in heavy precipitation events using precipitation percentile (or quantile) indices. Here we investigate three different percentile indices that are commonly used. We ...
    • Physical modeling supporting a storyline approach 

      Sillmann, Jana; Shepherd, Ted; Hurk, Bart van den; Hazeleger, Wilco; Martius, Olivia; Zscheischler, Jakob (CICERO Policy note;2019:01, Report, 2019-11)
      The concept of analyzing and communicating high-impact events in the climate change context via storylines has recently gained popularity in the climate modeling community. For instance, the use of case studies or storylines ...
    • Synoptic and meteorological drivers of extreme ozone concentrations over Europe 

      Otero, Noelia; Sillmann, Jana; Schnell, Jordan; Rust, Henning W.; Butler, Tim (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2016)
      The present work assesses the relationship between local and synoptic meteorological conditions and surface ozone concentration over Europe in spring and summer months, during the period 1998–2012 using a new interpolated ...
    • The Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (GeoMIP6): Simulation design and preliminary results 

      Kravitz, Ben; Robock, Alan; Tilmes, Simone; Boucher, Olivier; English, Jason. M.; Irvine, Peter J.; Jones, Andy; Lawrence, Mark G.; MacCracken, Michael; Muri, Helene; Moore, John C.; Niemeier, Ulrike; Phipps, Steven J.; Sillmann, Jana; Storelvmo, Trude; Wang, Hailong; Watanabe, Shingo (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2015)
      We present a suite of new climate model experiment designs for the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP). This set of experiments, named GeoMIP6 (to be consistent with the Coupled Model Intercomparison ...
    • The Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (GeoMIP6): Simulation design and preliminary results 

      Kravitz, Ben; Robock, Alan; Tilmes, Simone; Boucher, Olivier; English, Jason. M.; Irvine, Peter J.; Jones, Andy; Lawrence, Mark G.; MacCracken, Michael; Muri, Helene; Moore, John C.; Niemeier, Ulrike; Phipps, Steven J.; Sillmann, Jana; Storelvmo, Trude; Wang, Hailong; Watanabe, Shingo (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2015)
      We present a suite of new climate model experiment designs for the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP). This set of experiments, named GeoMIP6 (to be consistent with the Coupled Model Intercomparison ...