Now showing items 21-31 of 31

    • Observed and simulated temperature extremes during the recent warming hiatus 

      Sillmann, Jana; Donat, M. G.; Fyfe, J. C.; Zwiers, F. W. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2014)
      The discrepancy between recent observed and simulated trends in global mean surface temperature has provoked a debate about possible causes and implications for future climate change projections. However, little has been ...
    • Percentile indices for assessing changes in heavy precipitation events 

      Schaer, Christoph; Ban, Nikolina; Fischer, Erich M.; Rajczak, Jan; Schmidli, Juerg; Frei, Christoph; Giorgi, Filippo; Karl, Thomas R.; Kendon, Elisabeth J.; Klein Tank, Albert M. G.; O'Gorman, Paul A.; Sillmann, Jana; Zhang, Xuebin; Zwiers, Francis W. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2016)
      Many climate studies assess trends and projections in heavy precipitation events using precipitation percentile (or quantile) indices. Here we investigate three different percentile indices that are commonly used. We ...
    • Physical modeling supporting a storyline approach 

      Sillmann, Jana; Shepherd, Ted; Hurk, Bart van den; Hazeleger, Wilco; Martius, Olivia; Zscheischler, Jakob (CICERO Policy note;2019:01, Report, 2019-11)
      The concept of analyzing and communicating high-impact events in the climate change context via storylines has recently gained popularity in the climate modeling community. For instance, the use of case studies or storylines ...
    • The role of spatial and temporal model resolution in a flood event storyline approach in western Norway 

      Schaller, Nathalie; Sillmann, Jana; Müller, Malte; Haarsma, Reindert; Hazeleger, Wilco; Hegdahl, Trine Jahr; Kelder, Timo; van den Oord, Gijs; Weerts, Albrecht; Whan, Kirien (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2020)
      We apply a physical climate storyline approach to an autumn flood event in the West Coast of Norway caused by an atmospheric river to demonstrate the value and challenges of higher spatial and temporal resolution in ...
    • Synoptic and meteorological drivers of extreme ozone concentrations over Europe 

      Otero, Noelia; Sillmann, Jana; Schnell, Jordan; Rust, Henning W.; Butler, Tim (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2016)
      The present work assesses the relationship between local and synoptic meteorological conditions and surface ozone concentration over Europe in spring and summer months, during the period 1998–2012 using a new interpolated ...
    • The Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (GeoMIP6): Simulation design and preliminary results 

      Kravitz, Ben; Robock, Alan; Tilmes, Simone; Boucher, Olivier; English, Jason. M.; Irvine, Peter J.; Jones, Andy; Lawrence, Mark G.; MacCracken, Michael; Muri, Helene; Moore, John C.; Niemeier, Ulrike; Phipps, Steven J.; Sillmann, Jana; Storelvmo, Trude; Wang, Hailong; Watanabe, Shingo (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2015)
      We present a suite of new climate model experiment designs for the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP). This set of experiments, named GeoMIP6 (to be consistent with the Coupled Model Intercomparison ...
    • The Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (GeoMIP6): Simulation design and preliminary results 

      Kravitz, Ben; Robock, Alan; Tilmes, Simone; Boucher, Olivier; English, Jason. M.; Irvine, Peter J.; Jones, Andy; Lawrence, Mark G.; MacCracken, Michael; Muri, Helene; Moore, John C.; Niemeier, Ulrike; Phipps, Steven J.; Sillmann, Jana; Storelvmo, Trude; Wang, Hailong; Watanabe, Shingo (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2015)
      We present a suite of new climate model experiment designs for the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP). This set of experiments, named GeoMIP6 (to be consistent with the Coupled Model Intercomparison ...
    • The Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (GeoMIP6): Simulation design and preliminary results 

      Kravitz, Ben; Robock, Alan; Tilmes, Simone; Boucher, Olivier; English, Jason. M.; Irvine, Peter J.; Jones, Andy; Lawrence, Mark G.; MacCracken, Michael; Muri, Helene; Moore, John C.; Niemeier, Ulrike; Phipps, Steven J.; Sillmann, Jana; Storelvmo, Trude; Wang, Hailong; Watanabe, Shingo (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2015)
      We present a suite of new climate model experiment designs for the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP). This set of experiments, named GeoMIP6 (to be consistent with the Coupled Model Intercomparison ...
    • The influence of atmospheric blocking on extreme winter minimum temperatures in North America 

      Whan, Kirien; Zwiers, Francis W.; Sillmann, Jana (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2016)
      Regional climate models (RCMs) are the primary source of high-resolution climate projections, and it is of crucial importance to evaluate their ability to simulate extreme events under current climate conditions. Many ...
    • Top ten European heatwaves since 1950 and their occurrence in the coming decades 

      Russo, Simone; Sillmann, Jana; Fischer, Erich M. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2015)
      The Russian heatwave in 2010 killed tens of thousands of people, and was by far the worst event in Europe since at least 1950, according to recent studies and a novel universal heatwave index capturing both the duration ...
    • Urbanization in megacities increases the frequency of extreme precipitation events far more than their intensity 

      Marelle-Sebrechts, Louis; Myhre, Gunnar; Steensen, Birthe Marie Rødssæteren; Hodnebrog, Øivind; Alterskjær, Kari; Sillmann, Jana (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2020)
      More than half of the world's population lives in urban areas (UN Population Division 2018 The World's cities in 2018 (UN: New York)), which are especially vulnerable to climate extremes (Field et al 2012 Managing the Risks ...