Blar i CICERO Research Archive på forfatter "Wilcox, Laura J."

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    • 2023 temperatures reflect steady global warming and internal sea surface temperature variability 

      Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Wilcox, Laura J. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2024)
      2023 was the warmest year on record, influenced by multiple warm ocean basins. This has prompted speculation of an acceleration in surface warming, or a stronger than expected influence from loss of aerosol induced cooling. ...

    • Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions 

      Wilcox, Laura J.; Liu, Zhen; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Hawkins, Ed; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Nordling, Kalle; Undorf, Sabine; Bollasina, Massimo; Ekman, Annica M.L.; Krishnan, Srinath; Merikanto, Joonas; Turner, Andrew G. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2020)
      There is a large range of future aerosol emissions scenarios explored in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), with plausible pathways spanning a range of possibilities from large global reductions in emissions by 2050 ...

    • Are Northern Hemisphere boreal forest fires more sensitive to future aerosol mitigation than to greenhouse gas–driven warming? 

      Allen, Robert J.; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Wilcox, Laura J.; Fisher, Rosie (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2024)
      Considerable interest exists in understanding how climate change affects wildfire activity. Here, we use the Community Earth System Model version 2 to show that future anthropogenic aerosol mitigation yields larger increases ...

    • Competing effects of aerosol reductions and circulation changes for future improvements in Beijing haze 

      Guo, Liang; Wilcox, Laura J.; Bollasina, Massimo; Turnock, Steven T.; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Zhang, Lixia (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
      Despite local emission reductions, severe haze events remain a serious issue in Beijing. Previous studies have suggested that both greenhouse gas increases and aerosol decreases are likely to increase the frequency of ...

    • Interactions between atmospheric composition and climate change - progress in understanding and future opportunities from AerChemMIP, PDRMIP, and RFMIP 

      Fiedler, Stephanie; Naik, Vaishali; O'Connor, Fiona M.; Smith, Christopher J.; Griffiths, Paul; Kramer, Ryan J.; Takemura, Toshihiko; Allen, Robert J.; Im, Ulas; Kasoar, Matthew; Modak, Angshuman; Turnock, Steven; Voulgarakis, Apostolos; Watson-Parris, Duncan; Westervelt, Daniel M.; Wilcox, Laura J.; Zhao, Alcide; Collins, William J.; Schulz, Michael; Myhre, Gunnar; Forster, Piers M. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2024)
      The climate science community aims to improve our understanding of climate change due to anthropogenic influences on atmospheric composition and the Earth's surface. Yet not all climate interactions are fully understood, ...

    • Rapidly evolving aerosol emissions are a dangerous omission from near-term climate risk assessments 

      Persad, Geeta G.; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Wilcox, Laura J.; Allen, Robert J.; Bollasina, Massimo A.; Booth, Ben B. B.; Bonfils, Céline; Crocker, Tom; Joshi, Manoj M.; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Marvel, Kate D.; Merikanto, Joonas; Nordling, Kalle; Undorf, Sabine; Vuuren, Detlef Van; Westervelt, Daniel M.; Zhao, Alcide (Journal article, 2023)
      Anthropogenic aerosol emissions are expected to change rapidly over the coming decades, driving strong, spatially complex trends in temperature, hydroclimate, and extreme events both near and far from emission sources. ...

    • The Regional Aerosol Model Intercomparison Project (RAMIP) 

      Wilcox, Laura J.; Allen, Robert J.; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Bollasina, Massimo A.; Griffiths, Paul T.; Keeble, James; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Makkonen, Risto; Merikanto, Joonas; O'Donnell, Declan; Paynter, David J.; Persad, Geeta G.; Rumbold, Steven T.; Takemura, Toshihiko; Tsigaridis, Kostas; Undorf, Sabine; Westervelt, Daniel M. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      Changes in anthropogenic aerosol emissions have strongly contributed to global and regional trends in temperature, precipitation, and other climate characteristics and have been one of the dominant drivers of decadal trends ...

    • Strong regional trends in extreme weather over the next two decades under high- and low-emissions pathways 

      Iles, Carley Elizabeth; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Sandstad, Marit; Schuhen, Nina; Wilcox, Laura J.; Lund, Marianne Tronstad (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2024)
      Global warming is rapidly shifting climate conditions away from what societies and ecosystems are adapted to. While the magnitude of changes in mean and extreme climate are broadly studied, regional rates of change, a key ...