• Changes in Land Cover and Management Affect Heat Stress and Labor Capacity 

      Orlov, Anton; De Hertog, Steven; Havermann, Felix; Guo, Suqi; Luo, Fei; Manola, Iris; Thiery, Wim; Lejeune, Quentin; Pongratz, Julia; Humpenöder, Florian; Windisch, Michael; Nath, Shruti; Popp, Alexander; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      Global warming is expected to exacerbate heat stress. Additionally, biogeophysical effects of land cover and land management changes (LCLMC) could substantially alter temperature and relative humidity locally and non-locally. ...
    • The deployment length of solar radiation modification: an interplay of mitigation, net-negative emissions and climate uncertainty 

      Baur, Susanne; Nauels, Alexander; Nicholls, Zebedee; Sanderson, Benjamin M.; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      A growing body of literature investigates the effects of solar radiation modification (SRM) on global and regional climates. Previous studies have focused on the potentials and the side effects of SRM, with little attention ...
    • Impacts of land-use and land-cover changes on temperature-related mortality 

      Orlov, Anton; De Hertog, Steven J.; Havermann, Felix; Guo, Suqi; Manola, Iris; Lejeune, Quentin; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich; Thiery, Wim; Pongratz, Julia; Humpenöder, Florian; Popp, Alexander; Aunan, Kristin; Armstrong, Ben; Royé, Dominic; Cvijanovic, Ivana; Lavigne, Eric; Achilleos, Souzana; Bell, Michelle; Masselot, Pierre; Sera, Francesco; Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria; Gasparrini, Antonio; Mistry, Malcolm N. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2024)
      Land-use and land-cover change (LULCC) can substantially affect climate through biogeochemical and biogeophysical effects. Here, we examine the future temperature–mortality impact for two contrasting LULCC scenarios in a ...
    • Indicate separate contributions of long-lived and short-lived greenhouse gases in emission targets 

      Allen, Myles R.; Peters, Glen Philip; Shine, Keith P.; Azar, Christian; Balcombe, Paul; Boucher, Olivier; Cain, Michelle; Ciais, Philippe; Collins, William; Forster, Piers M.; Frame, Dave J.; Friedlingstein, Pierre; Fyson, Claire; Gasser, Thomas; Hare, Bill; Jenkins, Stuart; Hamburg, Steven P.; Johansson, Daniel J.A.; Lynch, John; Macey, Adrian.; Morfeldt, Johannes; Nauels, Alexander; Ocko, Ilissa; Oppenheimer, Michael; Pacala, Stephen W.; Pierrehumbert, Raymond T.; Rogeli, Joeri; Schaeffer, Michiel; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich; Shindell, Drew; Skeie, Ragnhild Bieltvedt; Smith, Stephen M.; Tanaka, Katsumasa (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      As researchers who have published over recent years on the issue of comparing the climate effects of different greenhouse gases, we would like to highlight a simple innovation that would enhance the transparency of stocktakes ...
    • Indicators of Global Climate Change 2023: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence 

      Forster, Piers M.; Smith, Chris; Walsh, Tristram; Lamb, William F.; Lamboll, Robin; Hall, Bradley; Hauser, Mathias; Ribes, Aurélien; Rosen, Debbie; Gillett, Nathan P.; Palmer, Matthew D.; Rogelj, Joeri; Von Schuckmann, Karina; Trewin, Blair; Allen, Myles; Andrew, Robbie; Betts, Richard A.; Borger, Alex; Boyer, Tim; Broersma, Jiddu A.; Buontempo, Carlo; Burgess, Samantha; Cagnazzo, Chiara; Cheng, Lijing; Friedlingstein, Pierre; Gettelman, Andrew; Gütschow, Johannes; Ishii, Masayoshi; Jenkins, Stuart; Lan, Xin; Morice, Colin; Mühle, Jens; Kadow, Christopher; Kennedy, John; Killick, Rachel E.; Krummel, Paul B.; Minx, Jan C.; Myhre, Gunnar; Naik, Vaishali; Peters, Glen Philip; Pirani, Anna; Pongratz, Julia; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich; Seneviratne, Sonia I.; Szopa, Sophie; Thorne, Peter; Kovilakam, Mahesh V. M.; Majamäki, Elisa; Jalkanen, Jukka-Pekka; Van Marle, Margreet; Hoesly, Rachel M.; Rohde, Robert; Schumacher, Dominik; Van Der Werf, Guido; Vose, Russell; Zickfeld, Kirsten; Zhang, Xuebin; Masson-Delmotte, Valérie; Zhai, Panmao (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2024)
      Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessments are the trusted source of scientific evidence for climate negotiations taking place under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). ...
    • Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change 

      Shiogama, Hideo; Hasegawa, Tomoko; Fujimori, Shinichiro; Murakami, Daisuke; Takahashi, Kiyoshi; Tanaka, Katsumasa; Emori, Seita; Kubota, Izumi; Abe, Manabu; Imada, Yukiko; Watanabe, Masahiro; Mitchell, Daniel; Schaller, Nathalie; Sillmann, Jana; Fischer, Erich; Scinocca, John F.; Bethke, Ingo; Lierhammer, Ludwig; Takakura, Jun'ya; Trautmann, Tim; Döll, Petra; Ostberg, Sebastian; Schmied, Hannes Müller; Saeed, Fahad; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2019)
      Clarifying characteristics of hazards and risks of climate change at 2 °C and 1.5 °C global warming is important for understanding the implications of the Paris Agreement. We perform and analyze large ensembles of 2 °C ...
    • The need for carbon-emissions-driven climate projections in CMIP7 

      Sanderson, Benjamin; Booth, Ben B. B.; Dunne, John; Eyring, Veronika; Fisher, Rosie; Friedlingstein, Pierre; Gidden, Matthew J.; Hajima, Tomohiro; Jones, Chris D.; Jones, Colin G.; King, Andrew; Koven, Charles D.; Lawrence, David M.; Lowe, Jason; Mengis, Nadine; Peters, Glen Philip; Rogelj, Joeri; Smith, Chris; Snyder, Abigail C.; Simpson, Isla R.; Swann, Abigail L. S.; Tebaldi, Claudia; Ilyina, Tatiana; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich; Séférian, Roland; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Van Vuuren, Detlef; Zaehle, Sönke (Peer reviewed, 2024)
      Previous phases of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) have primarily focused on simulations driven by atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases (GHGs), for both idealized model experiments and climate ...
    • Neglected implications of land-use and land-cover changes on the climate-health nexus 

      Orlov, Anton; Aunan, Kristin; Mistry, Malcolm N; Lejeune, Quentin; Pongratz, Julia; Thiery, Wim; Gasparrini, Antonio; Reed, Eilif Ursin; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      Climate change can substantially affect temperature-related mortality and morbidity, especially under high greenhouse gas emission pathways. Achieving the Paris Agreement goals require not only drastic reductions in fossil ...
    • Overcoming global inequality is critical for land-based mitigation in line with the Paris Agreement 

      Humpenöder, Florian; Popp, Alexander; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich; Orlov, Anton; Windisch, Michael Gregory; Menke, Inga; Pongratz, Julia; Havermann, Felix; Thiery, Wim; Luo, Fei; v. Jeetze, Patrick; Dietrich, Jan Philipp; Lotze-Campen, Hermann; Weindl, Isabelle; Lejeune, Quentin (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      Transformation pathways for the land sector in line with the Paris Agreement depend on the assumption of globally implemented greenhouse gas (GHG) emission pricing, and in some cases also on inclusive socio-economic ...
    • A perspective on the next generation of Earth system model scenarios: Towards representative emission pathways (REPs) 

      Meinshausen, Malte; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich; Beyer, Kathleen; Bodeker, Greg; Boucher, Olivier; Canadell, Josep G.; Daniel, John S.; Diongue-Niang, Aïda; Driouech, Fatima; Fischer, Erich; Forster, Piers; Grose, Michael; Hansen, Gerrit; Hausfather, Zeke; Ilyina, Tatiana; Kikstra, Jarmo S.; Kimutai, Joyce; King, Andrew D.; Lee, June-Yi; Lennard, Chris; Lissner, Tabea; Nauels, Alexander; Peters, Glen Philip; Pirani, Anna; Plattner, Gian-Kasper; Pörtner, Hans; Rogelj, Joeri; Rojas, Maisa; Roy, Joyashree; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Sanderson, Benjamin; Séférian, Roland; Seneviratne, Sonia; Smith, Christopher J.; Szopa, Sophie; Thomas, Adelle; Urge-Vorsatz, Diana; Velders, Guus J. M.; Yokohata, Tokuta; Ziehn, Tilo; Nicholls, Zebedee (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2024)
      In every Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Assessment cycle, a multitude of scenarios are assessed, with different scope and emphasis throughout the various Working Group reports and special reports, as well ...