Browsing CICERO Research Archive by Journals "Nature Climate Change"
Now showing items 1-14 of 14
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Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework
(Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2020)Long-term global scenarios have underpinned research and assessment of global environmental change for four decades. Over the past ten years, the climate change research community has developed a scenario framework combining ... -
African heritage sites threatened as sea-level rise accelerates
(Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)The African coast contains heritage sites of ‘Outstanding Universal Value’ that face increasing risk from anthropogenic climate change. Here, we generated a database of 213 natural and 71 cultural African heritage sites ... -
Betting on negative emissions
(Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2014)Bioenergy with carbon capture and storage could be used to remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. However, its credibility as a climate change mitigation option is unproven and its widespread deployment in climate ... -
Dirty air offsets inequality
(Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2020)Atmospheric aerosols have probably masked a significant portion of the greenhouse-gas-induced warming so far. Research now shows that this also may have masked some of the world’s increasing economic inequality. -
Estimating vanishing allowable emissions for 1.5 °C
(Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)The remaining carbon budget for 1.5 °C has been a highly discussed tool to communicate the urgency of efforts needed to meet the Paris Agreement. Now, research reassesses IPCC estimates, suggesting that ongoing near-flat ... -
Ethical choices behind quantifications of fair contributions under the Paris Agreement
(Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)The Parties to the UNFCCC and Paris Agreement agreed to act on the basis of equity to protect the climate system. Equitable effort sharing is an irreducibly normative matter, yet some influential studies have sought to ... -
Fossil CO2 emissions in the post-COVID-19 era
(Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)Five years after the adoption of the Paris Climate Agreement, growth in global CO2 emissions has begun to falter. The pervasive disruptions from the COVID-19 pandemic have radically altered the trajectory of global CO2 ... -
A multi-model analysis of long-term emissions and warming implications of current mitigation efforts
(Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)Most of the integrated assessment modelling literature focuses on cost-effective pathways towards given temperature goals. Conversely, using seven diverse integrated assessment models, we project global energy CO2 emissions ... -
A multimodel analysis of post-Glasgow climate targets and feasibility challenges
(Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)The COP26 Glasgow process resulted in many countries strengthening their 2030 emissions reduction targets and announcing net-zero pledges for 2050–2070 but it is not clear how this would impact future warming. Here, we use ... -
Reaching peak emissions
(Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2015)Rapid growth in global CO2 emissions from fossil fuels and industry ceased in the past two years, despite continued economic growth. Decreased coal use in China was largely responsible, coupled with slower global growth ... -
Sharing a quota on cumulative carbon emissions
(Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2014)Any limit on future global warming is associated with a quota on cumulative global CO2 emissions. We translate this global carbon quota to regional and national scales, on a spectrum of sharing principles that extends from ... -
The 'best available science' to inform 1.5°C policy choices
(Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2016)An IPCC Special Report on 1.5 °C should focus on resolving fundamental scientific and political uncertainties, not fixate on developing unachievable mitigation pathways. -
Uncertainties around reductions in China's coal use and CO 2 emissions
(Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2016)Chinese coal consumption dropped 2.9% in 2014 according to preliminary official statistics1 released in 2015. This was hailed as historic after China’s meteoric growth in the 2000s2. The International Energy Agency used ... -
Urban infrastructure choices structure climate solutions
(Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2016)Cities are becoming increasingly important in combatting climate change, but their overall role in global solution pathways remains unclear. Here we suggest structuring urban climate solutions along the use of existing and ...