Impacts of land-use and land-cover changes on temperature-related mortality
Orlov, Anton; De Hertog, Steven J.; Havermann, Felix; Guo, Suqi; Manola, Iris; Lejeune, Quentin; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich; Thiery, Wim; Pongratz, Julia; Humpenöder, Florian; Popp, Alexander; Aunan, Kristin; Armstrong, Ben; Royé, Dominic; Cvijanovic, Ivana; Lavigne, Eric; Achilleos, Souzana; Bell, Michelle; Masselot, Pierre; Sera, Francesco; Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria; Gasparrini, Antonio; Mistry, Malcolm N.
Peer reviewed, Journal article
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Date
2024Metadata
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Abstract
Land-use and land-cover change (LULCC) can substantially affect climate through biogeochemical and biogeophysical effects. Here, we examine the future temperature–mortality impact for two contrasting LULCC scenarios in a background climate of low greenhouse gas concentrations. The first LULCC scenario implies a globally sustainable land use and socioeconomic development (sustainability). In the second LULCC scenario, sustainability is implemented only in the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development countries (inequality).