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dc.contributor.authorCoppola, Erika
dc.contributor.authorNogherotto, Rita
dc.contributor.authorCiarlo', James M.
dc.contributor.authorGiorgi, Filippo
dc.contributor.authorVan Meijgaard, Erik
dc.contributor.authorKadygrov, N.
dc.contributor.authorIles, Carley
dc.contributor.authorCorre, Lola
dc.contributor.authorSandstad, Marit
dc.contributor.authorSomot, Samuel
dc.contributor.authorNabat, Pierre
dc.contributor.authorVautard, Robert
dc.contributor.authorLevavasseur, Guillaume
dc.contributor.authorSchwingshackl, Clemens
dc.contributor.authorSillmann, Jana
dc.contributor.authorKjellström, Erik
dc.contributor.authorNikulin, Grigory
dc.contributor.authorAalbers, Emma
dc.contributor.authorLenderink, Geert
dc.contributor.authorChristensen, Ole Bøssing
dc.contributor.authorBoberg, Fredrik
dc.contributor.authorSørland, Silje Lund
dc.contributor.authorDemory, Marie-Estelle
dc.contributor.authorBülow, Katharina
dc.contributor.authorTeichmann, Claas
dc.contributor.authorWarrach-Sagi, Kirsten
dc.contributor.authorWulfmeyer, Volker
dc.date.accessioned2022-04-28T10:57:05Z
dc.date.available2022-04-28T10:57:05Z
dc.date.created2022-01-19T12:21:23Z
dc.date.issued2021
dc.identifier.citationJournal of Geophysical Research (JGR): Atmospheres. 2021, 126 (4), .en_US
dc.identifier.issn2169-897X
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11250/2993164
dc.description.abstractThis paper analyzes the ensemble of regional climate model (RCM) projections for Europe completed within the EURO-CORDEX project. Projections are available for the two greenhouse gas concentration scenarios RCP2.6 (22 members) and RCP8.5 (55 members) at 0.11° resolution from 11 RCMs driven by eight global climate models (GCMs). The RCM ensemble results are compared with the driving CMIP5 global models but also with a subset of available last generation CMIP6 projections. Maximum warming is projected by all ensembles in Northern Europe in winter, along with a maximum precipitation increase there; in summer, maximum warming occurs in the Mediterranean and Southern European regions associated with a maximum precipitation decrease. The CMIP6 ensemble shows the largest signals, both for temperature and precipitation, along with the largest inter-model spread. There is a high model consensus across the ensembles on an increase of extreme precipitation and drought frequency in the Mediterranean region. Extreme temperature indices show an increase of heat extremes and a decrease of cold extremes, with CMIP6 showing the highest values and EURO-CORDEX the finest spatial details. This data set of unprecedented size and quality will provide the basis for impact assessment and climate service activities for the European region.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherAGUen_US
dc.titleAssessment of the European Climate Projections as Simulated by the Large EURO-CORDEX Regional and Global Climate Model Ensembleen_US
dc.typeJournal articleen_US
dc.typePeer revieweden_US
dc.description.versionsubmittedVersionen_US
dc.source.pagenumber0en_US
dc.source.volume126en_US
dc.source.journalJournal of Geophysical Research (JGR): Atmospheresen_US
dc.source.issue4en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1029/2019JD032356
dc.identifier.cristin1984629
cristin.ispublishedtrue
cristin.fulltextpreprint
cristin.qualitycode2


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