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dc.contributor.authorRusso, Simone
dc.contributor.authorSillmann, Jana
dc.contributor.authorSippel, Sebastian
dc.contributor.authorBarcikowska, Monika J.
dc.contributor.authorGhisetti, Claudia
dc.contributor.authorSmid, Marek
dc.contributor.authorO'Neill, Brian
dc.date.accessioned2021-06-14T11:41:53Z
dc.date.available2021-06-14T11:41:53Z
dc.date.created2019-01-16T10:43:11Z
dc.date.issued2019
dc.identifier.citationNature Communications. 2019, 10 (1), 1-9.en_US
dc.identifier.issn2041-1723
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11250/2759285
dc.description.abstractWhile every society can be exposed to heatwaves, some people suffer far less harm and recover more quickly than others from their occurrence. Here we project indicators of global heatwave risk associated with global warming of 1.5 and 2 °C, specified by the Paris agreement, for two future pathways of societal development representing low and high vulnerability conditions. Results suggest that at the 1.5 °C warming level, heatwave exposure in 2075 estimated for the population living in low development countries is expected to be greater than exposure at the warming level of 2 °C for the population living in very high development countries. A similar result holds for an illustrative heatwave risk index. However, the projected difference in heatwave exposure and the illustrative risk index for the low and very high development countries will be significantly reduced if global warming is stabilized below 1.5 °C, and in the presence of rapid social development.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherNatureen_US
dc.rightsAttribution-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internasjonal*
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nd/4.0/deed.no*
dc.titleHalf a degree and rapid socioeconomic development matter for heatwave risken_US
dc.typeJournal articleen_US
dc.typePeer revieweden_US
dc.description.versionpublishedVersionen_US
dc.source.pagenumber1-9en_US
dc.source.volume10en_US
dc.source.journalNature Communicationsen_US
dc.source.issue1en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1038/s41467-018-08070-4
dc.identifier.cristin1657973
dc.relation.projectNorges forskningsråd: 243953en_US
dc.relation.projectNorges forskningsråd: 244551en_US
cristin.unitcode7475,0,0,0
cristin.unitnameCICERO Senter for klimaforskning
cristin.ispublishedtrue
cristin.qualitycode2


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Attribution-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internasjonal
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