Blar i CICERO Research Archive på forfatter "Paynter, David"

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    • AERA-MIP: emission pathways, remaining budgets, and carbon cycle dynamics compatible with 1.5 and 2 °C global warming stabilization 

      Silvy, Yona; Frölicher, Thomas L.; Terhaar, Jens; Joos, Fortunat; Burger, Friedrich A.; Lacroix, Fabrice; Allen, Myles; Bernardello, Raffaele; Bopp, Laurent; Brovkin, Victor; Buzan, Jonathan R.; Cadule, Patricia; Dix, Martin; Dunne, John; Friedlingstein, Pierre; Georgievski, Goran; Hajima, Tomohiro; Jenkins, Stuart; Kawamiya, Michio; Kiang, Nancy Y.; Lapin, Vladimir; Lee, Donghyun; Lerner, Paul; Mengis, Nadine; Monteiro, Estela A.; Paynter, David; Peters, Glen Philip; Romanou, Anastasia; Schwinger, Jörg; Sparrow, Sarah; Stofferahn, Eric; Tjiputra, Jerry; Tourigny, Etienne; Ziehn, Tilo (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2024)
      While international climate policies now focus on limiting global warming to well below 2 °C or pursuing a 1.5 °C level of global warming, the climate modelling community has not provided an experimental design in which ...

    • Historical total ozone radiative forcing derived from CMIP6 simulations 

      Skeie, Ragnhild Bieltvedt; Myhre, Gunnar; Hodnebrog, Øivind; Cameron-Smith, Philip J.; Deushi, Makoto; Hegglin, Michaela I.; Horowitz, Larry W.; Kramer, Ryan J.; Michou, Martine; Mills, Michael J.; Oliviè, Dirk Jan Leo; O’Connor, Fiona M.; Paynter, David; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Sellar, Alistair; Shindell, Drew; Takemura, Toshihiko; Tilmes, Simone; Wu, Tongwen (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2020)
      Radiative forcing (RF) time series for total ozone from 1850 up to the present day are calculated based on historical simulations of ozone from 10 climate models contributing to the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project ...

    • Recent reductions in aerosol emissions have increased Earth’s energy imbalance 

      Hodnebrog, Øivind; Myhre, Gunnar; Jouan, Caroline; Andrews, Timothy; Forster, Piers M.; Jia, Hailing; Loeb, Norman G.; Oliviè, Dirk Jan Leo; Paynter, David; Quaas, Johannes; Raghuraman, Shiv Priyam; Schulz, Michael (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2024)
      The Earth’s energy imbalance is the net radiative flux at the top-of-atmosphere. Climate model simulations suggest that the observed positive imbalance trend in the previous two decades is inconsistent with internal ...