Blar i CICERO Research Archive på forfatter "Fisher, Rosie"
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Are Northern Hemisphere boreal forest fires more sensitive to future aerosol mitigation than to greenhouse gas–driven warming?
Allen, Robert J.; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Wilcox, Laura J.; Fisher, Rosie (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2024)Considerable interest exists in understanding how climate change affects wildfire activity. Here, we use the Community Earth System Model version 2 to show that future anthropogenic aerosol mitigation yields larger increases ... -
Calibrating Tropical Forest Coexistence in Ecosystem Demography Models Using Multi-Objective Optimization Through Population-Based Parallel Surrogate Search
Cheng, Yanyan; Wang, Wenyu; Detto, Matteo; Fisher, Rosie; Shoemaker, Christine (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2024)Tropical forest diversity governs forest structures, compositions, and influences the ecosystem response to environmental changes. Better representation of forest diversity in ecosystem demography (ED) models within Earth ... -
Dynamic ecosystem assembly and escaping the "fire trap" in the tropics: insights from FATES_15.0.0
Shuman, Jacquelyn K.; Fisher, Rosie; Koven, Charles; Knox, Ryan; Kueppers, Lara; Xu, Chonggang (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2024)Fire is a fundamental part of the Earth system, with impacts on vegetation structure, biomass, and community composition, the latter mediated in part via key fire-tolerance traits, such as bark thickness. Due to anthropogenic ... -
Forest fluxes and mortality response to drought: Model description (ORCHIDEE-CAN-NHA r7236) and evaluation at the Caxiuanã drought experiment
Yao, Yitong; Joetzjer, Emilie; Ciais, Philippe; Viovy, Nicolas; Cresto Aleina, Fabio; Chave, Jerome; Sack, Lawren; Bartlett, Megan; Meir, Patrick; Fisher, Rosie; Luyssaert, Sebastiaan (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)Extreme drought events in Amazon forests are expected to become more frequent and more intense with climate change, threatening ecosystem function and carbon balance. Yet large uncertainties exist on the resilience of this ... -
A machine learning approach targeting parameter estimation for plant functional type coexistence modeling using ELM-FATES (v2.0)
Li, Lingcheng; Fang, Yilin; Zheng, Zhonghua; Shi, Mingjie; Longo, Marcos; Koven, Charles D.; Holm, Jennifer A.; Fisher, Rosie; McDowell, Nate G.; Chambers, Jeffrey; Leung, L. Ruby (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)Tropical forest dynamics play a crucial role in the global carbon, water, and energy cycles. However, realistically simulating the dynamics of competition and coexistence between different plant functional types (PFTs) in ... -
Modeling Global Carbon Costs of Plant Nitrogen and Phosphorus Acquisition
Braghiere, R.K.; Fisher, J.B.; Allen, K.; Brzostek, E.; Shi, M.; Yang, X.; Ricciuto, D.M.; Fisher, Rosie; Zhu, Q.; Phillips, R.P. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)Most Earth system models (ESMs) do not explicitly represent the carbon (C) costs of plant nutrient acquisition, which leads to uncertainty in predictions of the current and future constraints to the land C sink. We integrate ... -
Modeling the Joint Effects of Vegetation Characteristics and Soil Properties on Ecosystem Dynamics in a Panama Tropical Forest
Cheng, Yanyan; Leung, L. Ruby; Huang, Maoyi; Koven, Charles; Detto, Matteo; Knox, Ryan; Bisht, Gautam; Bretfeld, Mario; Fisher, Rosie (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)In tropical forests, both vegetation characteristics and soil properties are important not only for controlling energy, water, and gas exchanges directly but also determining the competition among species, successional ... -
Multi-century dynamics of the climate and carbon cycle under both high and net negative emissions scenarios
Koven, Charles D.; Arora, Vivek K.; Cadule, Patricia; Fisher, Rosie; Jones, Chris D.; Lawrence, David M.; Lewis, Jared; Lindsay, Keith; Mathesius, Sabine; Meinshausen, Malte; Mills, Michael; Nicholls, Zebedee; Sanderson, Benjamin; Séférian, Roland; Swart, Neil C.; Wieder, William R.; Zickfeld, Kirsten (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)Future climate projections from Earth system models (ESMs) typically focus on the timescale of this century. We use a set of five ESMs and one Earth system model of intermediate complexity (EMIC) to explore the dynamics ... -
No constraint on long-term tropical land carbon-climate feedback uncertainties from interannual variability
Liu, Laibao; Fisher, Rosie; Douville, Hervé; Padrón, Ryan S.; Berg, Alexis; Mao, Jiafu; Alessandri, Andrea; Kim, Hyungjun; Seneviratne, Sonia I. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2024)Unraveling drivers of the interannual variability of tropical land carbon cycle is critical for understanding land carbon-climate feedbacks. Here we utilize two generations of factorial model experiments to show that ... -
Nutrient Dynamics in a Coupled Terrestrial Biosphere and Land Model (ELM-FATES-CNP)
Knox, Ryan G.; Koven, Charles D.; Riley, William J.; Walker, Anthony P.; Wright, S. Joseph; Holm, Jennifer A.; Wei, Xinyuan; Fisher, Rosie; Zhu, Qing; Tang, Jinyun; Ricciuto, Daniel M.; Shuman, Jacquelyn K.; Yang, Xiaojuan; Kueppers, Lara M.; Chambers, Jeffrey Q. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2024)We present a representation of nitrogen and phosphorus cycling in the Functionally Assembled Terrestrial Ecosystem Simulator, a demographic vegetation model within the Energy Exascale Earth System land model. This ... -
Projecting future forest microclimate using a land surface model
Hes, Gabriel Louis; Vanderkelen, Inne; Fisher, Rosie; Chave, Jérôme; Ogée, Jérôme; L Davin, Edouard (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2024)The forest understory experiences temperature variations that are dampened compared to adjacent open areas, allowing the development of a forest microclimate and associated ecological conditions. It is however unclear to ... -
Quantification of hydraulic trait control on plant hydrodynamics and risk of hydraulic failure within a demographic structured vegetation model in a tropical forest (FATES-HYDRO V1.0)
Xu, Chonggang; Christoffersen, Bradley; Robbins, Zachary; Knox, Ryan; Fisher, Rosie; Chitra-Tarak, Rutuja; Slot, Martijn; Solander, Kurt; Kueppers, Lara; Koven, Charles; McDowell, Nate (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)Vegetation plays a key role in the global carbon cycle and thus is an important component within Earth system models (ESMs) that project future climate. Many ESMs are adopting methods to resolve plant size and ecosystem ... -
Uncertainty in land carbon budget simulated by terrestrial biosphere models: the role of atmospheric forcing
Hardouin, Lucas; Delire, Christine; Decharme, Bertrand; Lawrence, David M.; Nabel, Julia E. M. S.; Brovkin, Victor; Collier, Nathan; Fisher, Rosie; Hoffman, Forrest M.; Koven, Charles D; Séférian, Roland; Stacke, Tobias (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)Global estimates of the land carbon sink are often based on simulations by terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs). The use of a large number of models that differ in their underlying hypotheses, structure and parameters is ...