• Changes in IPCC Scenario Assessment Emulators Between SR1.5 and AR6 Unraveled 

      Nicholls, Z.; Meinshausen, M.; Lewis, J.; Smith, C.J.; Forster, P.M.; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Rogelj, J.; Kikstra, J.S.; Riahi, K.; Byers, E. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      The IPCC's scientific assessment of the timing of net-zero emissions and 2030 emission reduction targets consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C or 2°C rests on large scenario databases. Updates to this assessment, such ...
    • The Climate Response to Emissions Reductions Due to COVID-19: Initial Results From CovidMIP 

      Jones, Chris D.; Hickman, Jonathan; Rumbold, Steven T; Walton, Jeremy; Lamboll, Robin; Skeie, Ragnhild Bieltvedt; Fiedler, Stephanie; Forster, Piers M.; Rogelj, Joeri; Abe, Manabu; Botzet, Michael; Calvin, Katherine; Cassou, Christophe; Cole, Jason N S; Davini, Paolo; Deushi, Makoto; Dix, Martin; Fyfe, John; Gillett, Nathan P.; Ilyina, Tatiana; Kawamiya, Michio; Kelley, Maxwell; Kharin, Slava; Koshiro, Tsuyoshi; Li, Hongmei; MacKallah, Chloe; Müller, Wolfgang A.; Nabat, Pierre; Van Noije, Twan; Nolan, Paul; Ohgaito, Rumi; Oliviè, Dirk Jan Leo; Oshima, Naga; Parodi, Jose; Reerink, Thomas J.; Ren, Lili; Romanou, Anastasia; Séférian, Roland; Tang, Yangming; Timmreck, Claudia; Tjiputra, Jerry; Tourigny, Etienne; Tsigaridis, Kostas; Wang, Hailong; Wu, Mingxuan; Wyser, Klaus; Yang, Shuting; Yang, Yang; Ziehn, Tilo (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
      Many nations responded to the corona virus disease-2019 (COVID-19) pandemic by restricting travel and other activities during 2020, resulting in temporarily reduced emissions of CO2, other greenhouse gases and ozone ...
    • Counteracting the climate effects of volcanic eruptions using short-lived greenhouse gases 

      Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Shine, Keith P. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2014)
      A large volcanic eruption might constitute a climate emergency, significantly altering global temperature and precipitation for several years. Major future eruptions will occur, but their size or timing cannot be predicted. ...
    • Methane's Solar Radiative Forcing 

      Byrom, Rachael; Shine, K.P. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      Methane (CH4) has significant absorption bands at wavelengths of 1.7, 2.3, 3.3 and 7.6 μm which absorb incoming solar ‘shortwave’ (SW) radiation and contribute to radiative forcing (RF). A comprehensive quantification of ...
    • The Multi-Decadal Response to Net Zero CO<inf>2</inf> Emissions and Implications for Emissions Policy 

      Jenkins, Stuart; Sanderson, Benjamin; Peters, Glen Philip; Frölicher, Thomas L.; Friedlingstein, Pierre; Allen, Myles (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      How confident are we that CO2 emissions must reach net zero or below to halt CO2-induced warming? The IPCC's sixth assessment report concluded that “limiting human-induced global warming to a specific level requires … ...
    • Observational Evidence of Increasing Global Radiative Forcing 

      Kramer, Ryan J.; He, Haozhe; Soden, Brian J.; Oreopoulos, Lazaros; Myhre, Gunnar; Forster, Piers M.; Smith, Christopher J. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
      Changes in atmospheric composition, such as increasing greenhouse gases, cause an initial radiative imbalance to the climate system, quantified as the instantaneous radiative forcing. This fundamental metric has not been ...
    • Predictive Skill of Teleconnection Patterns in Twentieth Century Seasonal Hindcasts and Their Relationship to Extreme Winter Temperatures in Europe 

      Schuhen, Nina; Schaller, Nathalie; Bloomfield, Hannah C.; Brayshaw, David J.; Lledó, Llorenç; Cionni, Irene; Sillmann, Jana (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      European winter weather is dominated by several low-frequency teleconnection patterns, the main ones being the North Atlantic Oscillation, East Atlantic, East Atlantic/Western Russia, and Scandinavian patterns. We analyze ...