Blar i CICERO Research Archive på forfatter "Lund, Marianne Tronstad"
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A “greenhouse gas balance” for aviation in line with the Paris Agreement
Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Kallbekken, Steffen; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Lee, David S. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)The effects of aviation on climate pose unique policy challenges. A large fraction of the CO2 emissions (65%) is international and not (explicitly) included in the Paris Agreement. The interpretation of Article 4.1 on ... -
Implications of differences between recent anthropogenic aerosol emission inventories for diagnosed AOD and radiative forcing from 1990 to 2019
Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Myhre, Gunnar; Skeie, Ragnhild Bieltvedt; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Klimont, Zbigniew (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)This study focuses on implications of differences between recent global emissions inventories for simulated trends in anthropogenic aerosol abundances and radiative forcing (RF) over the 1990–2019 period. We use the ECLIPSE ... -
Inferring Surface Albedo Prediction Error Linked to Forest Structure at High Latitudes
Bright, Ryan M.; Eisner, Stephanie; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Majasalmi, Titta; Myhre, Gunnar; Astrup, Rasmus Andreas (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2018)Predicting the surface albedo of a forest of a given species composition or plant functional type is complicated by the wide range of structural attributes it may display. Accurate characterizations of forest structure are ... -
Invited perspectives: A research agenda towards disaster risk management pathways in multi-(hazard-)risk assessment
Ward, Philip J.; Daniell, James; Duncan, Melanie; Dunne, Anna; Hananel, Cédric; Hochrainer-Stigler, Stefan; Tijssen, Annegien; Torresan, Silvia; Ciurean, Roxana Liliana; Gill, Joel C.; Sillmann, Jana; Couasnon, Anaïs; Koks, Elco; Padrón-Fumero, Noemi; Tatman, Sharon; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Adesiyun, Adewole; Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.; Alabaster, Alexander; Bulder, Bernard; Campillo Torres, Carlos; Critto, Andrea; Hernández-Martín, Raúl; MacHado, Marta; Mysiak, Jaroslav; Orth, Rene; Palomino Antolín, Irene; Petrescu, Eva-Cristina; Reichstein, Markus; Tiggeloven, Timothy; Van Loon, Anne F.; Vuong Pham, Hung; De Ruiter, Marleen C. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)Whilst the last decades have seen a clear shift in emphasis from managing natural hazards to managing risk, the majority of natural-hazard risk research still focuses on single hazards. Internationally, there are calls for ... -
Land cover change in low-warming scenarios may enhance the climate role of secondary organic aerosols
Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Rap, Alexandru; Myhre, Gunnar; Søvde, Ole Amund; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2021)Most socioeconomic pathways compatible with the aims of the Paris Agreement include large changes to land use and land cover. The associated vegetation changes can interact with the atmosphere and climate through numerous ... -
Land-atmosphere interactions in sub-polar and alpine climates in the CORDEX flagship pilot study Land Use and Climate Across Scales (LUCAS) models-Part 1: Evaluation of the snow-albedo effect
Daloz, Anne Sophie; Schwingshackl, Clemens; Mooney, Priscilla A.; Strada, Susanna; Rechid, Diana; Davin, Edouard L.; Katragkou, Eleni; De Noblet-Ducoudré, Nathalie; Belda, Michal; Halenka, Tomas; Breil, Marcus; Cardoso, Rita M.; Hoffmann, Peter; Lima, Daniela C. A.; Meier, Ronny; Soares, Pedro M. M.; Sofiadis, Giannis; Strandberg, Gustav; Toelle, Merja H.; Lund, Marianne Tronstad (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)Seasonal snow cover plays a major role in the climate system of the Northern Hemisphere via its effect on land surface albedo and fluxes. In climate models the parameterization of interactions between snow and atmosphere ... -
Land–atmosphere interactions in sub-polar and alpine climates in the CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study Land Use and Climate Across Scales (LUCAS) models – Part 2: The role of changing vegetation
Mooney, Priscilla A.; Rechid, Diana; Davin, Edouard L.; Katragkou, Eleni; de Noblet-Ducoudré, Nathalie; Breil, Marcus; Cardosa, Rita M.; Daloz, Anne Sophie; Hoffmann, Peter; Lima, Daniela; Meier, R.; Soares, Pedro M.M.; Sofiadis, Giannis; Strada, Susanna; Strandberg, Gustav; Toelle, Merja; Lund, Marianne Tronstad (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)Land cover in sub-polar and alpine regions of northern and eastern Europe have already begun changing due to natural and anthropogenic changes such as afforestation. This will impact the regional climate and hydrology upon ... -
Luftfart og klima - En oppdatert oversikt over status for forskning på klimaeffekter av utslipp fra fly
Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Aamaas, Borgar; Berntsen, Terje Koren; Fuglestvedt, Jan S. (CICERO Report;2016:05, Research report, 2016)Denne rapporten gir en oppdatert oversikt over hvordan og i hvilken grad de ulike utslippene fra flytrafikk påvirker klima basert på den nyeste forskningen. For å forstå den totale klimaeffekten av luftfart er det viktig ... -
Multi-model simulations of aerosol and ozone radiative forcing due to anthropogenic emission changes during the period 1990-2015
Myhre, Gunnar; Aas, Wenche; Cherian, Ribu; Collins, W; Faluvegi, Greg; Flanner, M.; Forster, Piers M.; Hodnebrog, Øivind; Klimont, Zbigniew; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Mulmenstädt, Johannes; Myhre, Cathrine Lund; Oliviè, Dirk Jan Leo; Prather, Michael J.; Quaas, Johannes; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Schnell, Jordan; Schulz, Michael; Shindell, Drew; Skeie, Ragnhild Bieltvedt; Takemura, Toshihiko; Tsyro, Svetlana G. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2017)Over the past few decades, the geographical distribution of emissions of substances that alter the atmospheric energy balance has changed due to economic growth and air pollution regulations. Here, we show the resulting ... -
Near- and long-term global warming of current emissions
Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Stjern, Camilla Weum; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Aamaas, Borgar; Kallbekken, Steffen (CICERO Report;2018:15, Research report, 2018-11-05)Human activities influence the climate in a range of ways. While emissions of CO2 from burning of fossil fuels is the dominant factor behind the present rapid global warming, many other gases and particles also contribute. ... -
Radiative forcing of the direct aerosol effect from AeroCom Phase II simulations
Myhre, Gunnar; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Schulz, M.; Balkanski, Y.; Bauer, S.; Berntsen, Terje Koren; Bian, H.; Bellouin, N.; Chin, M; Diehl, T; Easter, R. C.; Feichter, J; Ghan, SJ; Hauglustaine, D; Iversen, Trond; Kinne, S; Kirkevåg, A; Lamarque, J. F.; Lin, G; Liu, X.; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Luo, G; Ma, X; van Noije, T; Penner, JE; Rasch, P. J.; Ruiz, A.; Seland, Ø.; Skeie, Ragnhild Bieltvedt; Stier, P; Takemura, T.; Tsigaridis, K; Wang, P.; Wang, Z; Xu, L.; Yu, H; Yu, F.; Yoon, J.-H.; Zhang, K.; Zhang, H.; Zhou, C. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2013)We report on the AeroCom Phase II direct aerosol effect (DAE) experiment where 16 detailed global aerosol models have been used to simulate the changes in the aerosol distribution over the industrial era. All 16 models ... -
Rapidly evolving aerosol emissions are a dangerous omission from near-term climate risk assessments
Persad, Geeta G.; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Wilcox, Laura J.; Allen, Robert J.; Bollasina, Massimo A.; Booth, Ben B. B.; Bonfils, Céline; Crocker, Tom; Joshi, Manoj M.; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Marvel, Kate D.; Merikanto, Joonas; Nordling, Kalle; Undorf, Sabine; Vuuren, Detlef Van; Westervelt, Daniel M.; Zhao, Alcide (Journal article, 2023)Anthropogenic aerosol emissions are expected to change rapidly over the coming decades, driving strong, spatially complex trends in temperature, hydroclimate, and extreme events both near and far from emission sources. ... -
The Regional Aerosol Model Intercomparison Project (RAMIP)
Wilcox, Laura J.; Allen, Robert J.; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Bollasina, Massimo A.; Griffiths, Paul T.; Keeble, James; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Makkonen, Risto; Merikanto, Joonas; O'Donnell, Declan; Paynter, David J.; Persad, Geeta G.; Rumbold, Steven T.; Takemura, Toshihiko; Tsigaridis, Kostas; Undorf, Sabine; Westervelt, Daniel M. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)Changes in anthropogenic aerosol emissions have strongly contributed to global and regional trends in temperature, precipitation, and other climate characteristics and have been one of the dominant drivers of decadal trends ... -
Reply to: Uncertainty in near-term temperature evolution must not obscure assessments of climate mitigation benefits
Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Lund, Marianne Tronstad (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)In response to our recent paper1 (hereafter SFL20) concerning the relation between natural variability in the climate system and the time to detect a response to emissions mitigation, Lanson et al.2 (hereafter L22) call ... -
The Representation of Sea Salt Aerosols and Their Role in Polar Climate Within CMIP6
Lapere, Rémy; Thomas, Jennie L.; Marelle, Louis; Ekman, Annica M. L.; Frey, Markus M.; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Makkonen, Risto; Ranjithkumar, Ananth; Salter, Matthew E.; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Schulz, Michael; Sogacheva, Larisa; Yang, Xin; Zieger, Paul (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)Natural aerosols and their interactions with clouds remain an important uncertainty within climate models, especially at the poles. Here, we study the behavior of sea salt aerosols (SSaer) in the Arctic and Antarctic within ... -
Responses of Arctic black carbon and surface temperature to multi-region emission reductions: A Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution Phase 2 (HTAP2) ensemble modeling study
Nan-nan, Zhao; Dong, Xinyi; Huang, Kan; Fu, Joshua S.; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Sudo, Kengo; Henze, Daven K.; Kucsera, Tom; Lam, Yun Fat; Chin, Mian; Tilmes, Simone (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)Black carbon (BC) emissions play an important role in regional climate change in the Arctic. It is necessary to pay attention to the impact of long-range transport from regions outside the Arctic as BC emissions from local ... -
Sensitivity of black carbon concentrations and climate impact to aging and scavenging in OsloCTM2-M7
Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Berntsen, Terje Koren; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2017)Accurate representation of black carbon (BC) concentrations in climate models is a key prerequisite for understanding its net climate impact. BC aging and scavenging are treated very differently in current models. Here, ... -
Steady global surface warming from 1973 to 2022 but increased warming rate after 1990
Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Zhou, C.; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Marotzke, J.; Zelinka, M.D. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)The change in global mean surface temperature is a crucial and broadly used indicator of the evolution of climate change. Any decadal scale changes in warming rate are however obfuscated by internal variability. Here we ... -
The climate impacts of current black carbon and organic carbon emissions
Aamaas, Borgar; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Myhre, Gunnar; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard; Stjern, Camilla Weum; Kallbekken, Steffen (CICERO Report;2018:08, Research report, 2018-06-20)In Part 1, we present a summary of recent research into the climate impact of black and organic carbon. There have been many developments on the research front in recent years, and this rapid pace is expected to continue. ...