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dc.contributor.authorvan de Ven, Dirk-Jan
dc.contributor.authorMittal, Shivika
dc.contributor.authorGambhir, Ajay
dc.contributor.authorLamboll, Robin D.
dc.contributor.authorDoukas, Haris
dc.contributor.authorGiarola, Sara
dc.contributor.authorHawkes, Adam
dc.contributor.authorKoasidis, Konstantinos
dc.contributor.authorKöberle, Alexandre C.
dc.contributor.authorMcJeon, Haewon
dc.contributor.authorPerdana, Sigit
dc.contributor.authorPeters, Glen Philip
dc.contributor.authorRogelj, Joeri
dc.contributor.authorSognnæs, Ida Andrea Braathen
dc.contributor.authorVielle, Marc
dc.contributor.authorNikas, Alexandros
dc.date.accessioned2024-03-04T14:00:51Z
dc.date.available2024-03-04T14:00:51Z
dc.date.created2023-06-07T13:25:34Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.identifier.citationNature Climate Change. 2023, .en_US
dc.identifier.issn1758-678X
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11250/3120919
dc.description.abstractThe COP26 Glasgow process resulted in many countries strengthening their 2030 emissions reduction targets and announcing net-zero pledges for 2050–2070 but it is not clear how this would impact future warming. Here, we use four diverse integrated assessment models (IAMs) to assess CO2 emission trajectories in the near- and long-term on the basis of national policies and pledges, combined with a non-CO2 infilling model and a simple climate model to assess the temperature implications. We also consider the feasibility of national long-term pledges towards net-zero. While near-term pledges alone lead to warming above 2 °C, the addition of long-term pledges leads to emissions trajectories compatible with a future well below 2 °C, across all four IAMs. However, while IAM heterogeneity translates to diverse decarbonization pathways towards long-term targets, all modelled pathways indicate several feasibility concerns, relating to the cost of mitigation and the rates and scales of deployed technologies and measures.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherSpringer Nature ltden_US
dc.rightsNavngivelse 4.0 Internasjonal*
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.no*
dc.titleA multimodel analysis of post-Glasgow climate targets and feasibility challengesen_US
dc.title.alternativeA multimodel analysis of post-Glasgow climate targets and feasibility challengesen_US
dc.typePeer revieweden_US
dc.typeJournal articleen_US
dc.description.versionpublishedVersionen_US
dc.source.pagenumber0en_US
dc.source.journalNature Climate Changeen_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1038/s41558-023-01661-0
dc.identifier.cristin2152632
dc.relation.projectEC/H2020/820846en_US
dc.relation.projectEC/H2020/101003687en_US
dc.relation.projectEC/H2020/101056306en_US
cristin.ispublishedtrue
cristin.fulltextoriginal
cristin.qualitycode2


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Navngivelse 4.0 Internasjonal
Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as Navngivelse 4.0 Internasjonal